Free tips for 2015 Sapphire Crown and Harrison-Dawson heat night
FOUR heats of the Group 1 Sapphire Crown will be run at Sandown Park on Thursday night alongside four heats of the Group 1 Harrison-Dawson, both run over the 515-metre trip.
The Sapphire Crown, a series for bitches only, has attracted some stellar fields for its 2015 edition, whilst the Harrison-Dawson for the boys, which is being run as a Group 1 for the first time this year, is highlighted by the presence of superstar sprinter Fernando Bale.
First and second from each heat of both series' will progress through to their respective finals next Thursday night which will both be worth $100,000-to-the-winner.
Lets get into our selections for the meeting, with race comments from Australian Racing Greyhound's form analyst, Brad Bugeja.
Best Bet:
Race 5: Usain I'm Nutty at $2.90 with William Hill
Best Roughie:
Race 11: Lektra Outlaw
Quaddie:
Leg 1: 1 – Leg 2: 3,4,7 – Leg 3: 1,3,6 – Leg 4: 3,4
$18 for 100%
1st: $7,000 2nd: $2,000 3rd: $1,000.
No.NameFormBestTrainer
Angie Rocks is an enormous talent and she is drawn to get the run of the race at $2.40 with William Hill. With the red expected to lead, she should be able to drive through at the first turn and settle in second or third spot. She is extremely strong in the run home and if she gets a clear run its hard to see them holding her out based on her blistering 29.27 PB here.
Dyna Nico is racing in fantastic style and she is extremely reliable early, I'm expecting her to hold them out early and that should allow her to dash away mid race. If the two is close to her off the back she likely get run down, however if the two gets held up in traffic she should be able to steal the cash.
Spring Leaf has a tremendous record here and with some luck from the awkward draw she should be able to make an impact. The only concern with her is that there is a fair bit of speed underneath so she might get posted a little wide early.
Oakvale Flyer rounds out the chances, she is better than her form reads and she is suited to the inside draw.
Top Four: 2 – 1 – 5 – 3
Suggested Bets:
Win bet on Angie Rocks at $2.40 with William Hill
Quinella: 2 to rove with 1,3,5 ($3 for 100%)
Exacta: 1,2/1,2,3,5 ($6 for 100%)
Trifecta: 2/1,3,5/Field ($18 for 100%)
1st: $7,000 2nd: $2,000 3rd: $1,000.
No.NameFormBestTrainer
Narralee is a faultless beginner and she should be able to fire to the early lead. In recent weeks she has turned in some great performances at Warrnambool and with four runs under her belt since a spell she should be primed to run out the 500-metre journey. She has won here previously in a zippy 29.42 and a repeat of that will see her proving hard to reel in.
Lamia Bale is all class and she should be able to settle in the top two or three early. She has the ability to lead or come from off the speed in her races and she should have sufficient speed to cross the inside two chasers.
Over Here is a classy Queensland speedster and she recently captured the Group 2 Futurity. This race is another step up in class for her and she will need to do everything right to feature. She is armed with great early speed so she should give herself every chance in the race.
West On Delly and Weblec Belle round out the chances, both have a great turn of foot and if they settle in the first half of the field they will become serious threats.
Top Four: 5 – 3 – 2 – 4
Suggested Bets:
Win bet on Narralee at $6.50 with William Hill
Quinella: 5 to rove with 2,3,4 ($3 for 100%)
Exacta: 2,3,5/2,3,4,5 ($9 for 100%)
Trifecta: 5/2,3,4/Field ($18 for 100%)
1st: $7,000 2nd: $2,000 3rd: $1,000.
No.NameFormBestTrainer
Quick Succession has been racing consistently of late and she should be able to roll to the early lead. She isn't overly strong but this heat isn't either so if she does lead then she will get every chance to score. Last time out she was handily place behind the superstar Fernando Bale and a repeat effort would probably be enough to win. There is plenty of speed in this race so the start is going to be very crucial.
Kerrigan Bale is much better than her recent form reads and she has the ability to ping the lids. She has been placed in four of her past five here and with a clean getaway she should be able to follow the four and five across early.
Kiltah Magic must be respected, she is back in top form and she will be suited to the wide draw. She doesn't have the early speed of her rivals but she is strong and if she can avoid the pink in the early stages she will take some stopping.
Diva's Shadow is the only other winning hope, she is very hit or miss early but if she can ping away she will put herself right into contention.
Top Four: 4 – 6 – 7 – 5
Suggested Bets:
Win bet on Quick Succession at $4 with William Hill
Quinella: 4 to rove with 5,6,7 ($3 for 100%)
Exacta: 4,6,7/4,5,6,7 ($9 for 100%)
Trifecta: 4/5,6,7/Field ($18 for 100%)
1st: $7,000 2nd: $2,000 3rd: $1,000.
No.NameFormBestTrainer
Probably the most open and interesting of the four heats. Star Recall is a superstar and she is returning to the track after three months off the scene. She is in very good hands so I'm expecting her to be fully primed for her first up performance. She is the reigning Sale Cup champ and she was a finalist in the Perth Cup, so she is extremely versatile and I'm expecting her to sprint well fresh.
Shanlyn Violet is an exciting talent and if she reproduces the effort which saw her win here in 29.52 she will prove very hard to hold out. There is a fair bit of speed drawn around her but with a clean getaway she should have sufficient speed to burn them off.
Elfen Bale recently captured the Ladies Bracelet Final at Wentworth Park and she continues to get better with more racing. She is yet to win here in two runs but she didn't have much luck in those races and she appears to have found a fair bit since then.
Weblec Rose rounds out the chances, she does her best racing here and she has been taking on some strong company of late. This race has a fair bit of depth but at her best she is more than capable.
Top Four: 2 – 3 – 4 – 5
Suggested Bets:
Win bet on Star Recall at $2.90 with William Hill
Boxed Quinella: 2,3,4,5 ($6 for 100%)
Exacta: 2,3/2,3,4,5 ($6 for 100%)
Trifecta: 2/3,4,5/Field ($18 for 100%)
1st: $7,000 2nd: $2,000 3rd: $1,000.
No.NameFormBestTrainer
Usain I'm Nutty is a gun chaser and he has come up with the coveted rails draw. Last time out he overcame early difficulties and powered to the line before posting a sizzling 29.97 Meadows win. He has won five of his ten starts here and he has a ridiculous 29.21 PB. From the red draw I'm expecting him to settle a closer to the speed than normal and if he does settle in the top three he should prove far too strong for his rivals. This bloke is a serious chaser and you can get $2.90 with William Hill which is a great price.
Dawkins Bale is another super talent and he blew his rivals away when winning at Albion Park in 29.79 two runs back. He has a good record here and he normally begins quite well, so with an even getaway tonight he should be able to settle in the top two or three early and that should see him figure in the finish.
Berzerk is flying at present and it would be great to see him win for connections, he is a bit hit or miss at box rise but he does muster speed quite well and if he finds the top he will take some catching, however for him to win he definitely does need to lead clearly.
Fever Pitch is racing in rare form and he set the track alight with a dazzling 29.27 win here last time, this is clearly his toughest test to date but he should handle himself quite well.
Top Four: 1 – 6 – 2 – 5
Suggested Bets:
Win bet on Usain I'm Nutty
Quinella: 1 to rove with 2,5,6 ($3 for 100%)
Exacta: 1,6/1,2,5,6 ($6 for 100%)
Trifecta: 1/2,5,6/Field ($18 for 100%)
1st: $7,000 2nd: $2,000 3rd: $1,000.
No.NameFormBestTrainer
Luca Neveelk is a champion sprinter and he should be leading from go to whoa. He is the reigning Australian Cup victor and he is drawn to get the perfect cart across with Crackerjack Dak expected to ping and carve left. There isn't a chaser in this field that can match him for the first 300-metres and once he finds the top he is a very hard chaser to gun down. He will be fairly short but he should be winning.
Whodat Knockin' is the ultimate professional and he tends to do everything right in his races, he should be able to settle in the first half of the field and he will be very strong in the run to the line.
Mepunga Armagh is a reliable beginner and he loves racing over this track and trip, he should be able to sit just behind Luca Neveelk in the early stages and he should finish in the top four.
Caustic Bale is the interesting runner, he is an absolute beast when on song and with an ounce of luck early he could feature. One out he is the fastest chaser in the field but he does throw in the towel once he cops a couple of knocks.
Top Four: 7 – 4 – 3 – 6
Suggested Bets:
Win bet on Luca Neveelk at $2.70 with William Hill
Quinella: 7 to rove with 3,4,6 ($3 for 100%)
Exacta: 3,4,7/3,4,6,7 ($9 for 100%)
Trifecta: 7/3,4,6/Field ($18 for 100%)
1st: $7,000 2nd: $2,000 3rd: $1,000.
No.NameFormBestTrainer
Keybow is returning to the track after a few months off and he is drawn to get the gun run. He has reportedly been trialling the house down at Ipswich over the 431-metre journey so he should be showing an abundance of early speed tonight. From the red he should find the top and if he is at around 80% fit that should be enough for him to score.
Sisco Rage returned to the winners list here last week over 595-metres and he is probably better suited back to this journey. He is normally a solid beginner and he does muster speed quite well, so if he can settle in the top three or four he should be there to pounce as they round for home.
Weston East is drawn to get the gun run and he will be hitting the line hard, he has won four of 11 here and he owns a smart 29.36 PB. He will be around the $10 mark and he could be a great place bet.
Armed And Ready rounds out the hopes, he would normally be right up there with my top pick but he appears to be a little off his game at present.
Top Four: 1 – 6 – 3 – 8
Suggested Bets:
Trifecta: 1/3,6,8/Field ($18 for 100%)
Exacta: 1,6/1,3,6,8 ($6 for 100%)
Quinella: 1 to rove with 3,6,8 ($3 for 100%)
1st: $7,000 2nd: $2,000 3rd: $1,000.
No.NameFormBestTrainer
Clearly the race of the night and it should be a stirring battle between Fernando Bale and Dyna Double One. If this was a match race between the two I would put my money on Dyna Double One but under race conditions it's hard to look past Fernando Bale. He has won seven on the trot and he is an astonishing beginner. His two recent wins here have been amazing and his sectionals have been off the charts. He should pounce on the early lead and he should be winning.
Dyna Double One is clearly the danger, he is capable of running blistering sectionals but he doesn't begin as well as Fernando Bale. I would love to see him land on the back of the favourite as it would make for a terrific battle.
Emrys is a very strong chaser and he is drawn to get a nice run. He can't match the top two but he should be able to run home into third spot.
Amaro Bale and Xtreme Knocka are the only other place hopes, both are drawn poorly but they are strong and can snag third spot.
Top Four: 3 – 4 – 1 – 7
Suggested Bets:
Trifecta: 3,4/3,4/Field ($12 for 100%)
Trifecta: 3/4/Field ($6 for 100%)
Trifecta: 3,4/3,4/1,6,7 ($6 for 100%)
Trifecta: 3/4/1,6,7 ($3 for 100%)
1st: $6,120 2nd: $1,750 3rd: $875.
No.NameFormBestTrainer
Lady Toy was a tad disappointing here last week and she should be able to make amends on this event tonight. This is a big drop in class and she should be able to roll to the top with a clean getaway. There is very little speed drawn around her so she should get all the breaks early on, she will be quite short so it might be best to just anchor her up front in your exotic bets.
Wind Whistler is stepping back up in distance and I think he can improve on his first try four runs back. He should be able to settle in the top three early and I think he is much fitter this time around, so he should be right in the finish.
Love Affair is well drawn out wide and she is very strong in the run to the line, she tends to race best at The Meadows but she can make amends on her previous form here.
Julie Bale rounds out the chances, she has the draw to settle in the first half of the field and she is better than her form suggests.
Top Four: 6 – 5 – 8 – 1
Suggested Bets:
Boxed Quinella: 1,5,6,8 ($6 for 100%)
Exacta: 5,6/1,5,6,8 ($6 for 100%)
Trifecta: 6/1,5,8/Field ($18 for 100%)
1st: $7,200 2nd: $2,060 3rd: $1,025.
No.NameFormBestTrainer
Ryno's Raider has come up with the good draw and he is an improving type, from the red draw he should be able to settle near the top and he will be very strong in the run to the line. Last week's effort was his first race for a couple of months, so he should strip a lot fitter this time around he could be good value.
Bubba's Silvia should roll to the early lead and she caught the eye with a top 34.33 heat win last week, that was her first try over this journey so she should hit the line a little better this week. If she finds the top she will prove hard to run down.
Too Seductive scored an impressive 34.42 heat win last week and she is a member of a powerful kennel, the box draw is a negative but she has plenty of speed and she should be able to handle herself quite well.
Misty Sannette is a kennel mate to the six and she appears to have a lot of talent, she was very unlucky in her heat and I'm expecting an improved performance with some luck early.
Top Four: 1 – 3 – 6 – 2
Suggested Bets:
Win bet on Ryno's Raider
Quinella: 1 to rove with 2,3,6 ($3 for 100%)
Trifecta: 1/2,3,6/Field ($18 for 100%)
Exacta: 1,3,6/1,2,3,6 ($9 for 100%)
1st: $5,320 2nd: $1,520 3rd: $760.
No.NameFormBestTrainer
Tough race but if the speedy Lektra Outlaw can cross early on he should prove very hard to reel in. He isn't overly strong in the run home but this race lacks genuine depth and he should get every chance to score at nice odds.
Ikaku Bale is much better than his recent form reads and he is drawn to get the gun run. The rails draw should allow him to settle in the top three and he will be very strong in the run home.
Mo Keeping can be hard to follow at times but he does have a heap of talent, if he pings the lids he becomes a serious contender.
Gaucho must also be respected, he has the ability to win but he will need the breaks in the early stages.
Top Four: 6 – 1 – 3 – 5
Suggested Bets:
Win bet on Lektra Outlaw
Boxed Quinella: 1,3,5,6 ($6 for 100%)
Exacta: 1,3,6/1,3,5,6 ($9 for 100%)
1st: $5,750 2nd: $1,645 3rd: $830.
No.NameFormBestTrainer
Blinker's On has the class edge and with any sort of luck he should be winning. He isn't the best of beginners but he does pick himself up well and if he can settle in the middle of the pack he should be right there at the end. He should be around the $4 mark with William Hill and that appears to be good value for a chaser of his calibre.
Bolt On has the speed to lead them up and he should give a great sight, his last 40-metres isn't great but if he gets away mid race he will give them something to catch.
Prancing Magic continues to impress and he is armed with good early speed, the empty draw underneath will help and I'm expecting a forward showing.
Know Danger had no luck here last week and I'm expecting an improved performance, I dont think he can win but he is a must for the exotics.
Top Four: 7 – 2 – 6 -1
Suggested Bets:
Win bet on Blinker's On
Quinella; 7 to rove with 1,2,6 ($3 for 100%)
Exacta: 2,7/1,2,6,7 ($6 for 100%)
Trifecta: 7/1,2,6/Field ($15 for 100%)