Lismore Greyhounds Race 5 Box 2 Hot Tewin, 8.05pm
This bitch is a dead set flying machine when in form. She’s often run the hands off the clock at Maitland and she should be primed to run a big race here tonight. She’s only won once from four starts here, but don’t let that put you off. She’s boxed well and has enough early toe to take up the lead and once in front she’ll be super hard to catch.
Gosford Cup Race 8 Box 1 Avondale Amor, 9.18pm
Big race here tonight and it’s been rocked with the scratching of the likely favourite in My Signature. That opens the race right up and I’m going to stick with the box one runner in Avondale Amor. He has a good record from the red and looks as if he can hold a forward position early on in the race. Boxes win races and he can run the time it will take to win. There will be a huge charge down the outside and god only knows what will occur.
For that reason I’ll stick with the well boxed runner and hope he can add $40,000 to his collection in a cracking race.
Best Of Luck
$$ Another Day Another Dollar $$
It’s the first Monday night of 2014 and I’m confident we have found a few worth putting the cash on here tonight.
Albion Park Greyhounds Race 4 Box 1 Kingsbrae Knocker, 7.44pm
Trainer Dave Mcmillian has a new wave of Northfield dogs in his kennels, and is having fair success with the former Northern Rivers chasers.
Kingsbrae Knocker ran a very solid race three starts back and really looked as if she was in fine form. She backed that up when running third her next start at Albion Park. She draws the red box here tonight and comes up against a very fair line up. She’s bursting to win a race and should get the perfect run and opportunity to win this race here tonight. She should land in the leading division and I’m confident she can run around the 30.30 mark here with a clear run.
Boxes two and three are the dangers, but I’m supremely confident backers will get a huge run for there money here tonight.
Perfectly boxed in form and will win. Great bet load up.
Angle Park Greyhounds Race 4 Box 3 Who De Punk, 7.36pm
This bitch looks a great chance here tonight and finds herself in a race that she should win with any luck. She’s the fastest bitch in the race, but does get back early and she needs the right run through the field. She comes up with the three box here tonight and should trail the early leaders from boxes one and two here tonight. As long as she can stay within four or so lengths of the early leaders, she should just power right over the top of them with ease.
She likes to race one or two off the fence, and there’s not a great deal of pace that will cut down on top of her so expect her to gain that clear run she needs. She has a PB of 30.14 and she will need to go within two or so lengths here tonight to win.
Each-way chance at worst, but she should run a place.
Launceston Greyhounds Race 9 Box 1 Tiger Toes, 10.18pm
The very classy Tiger Toes has no excuse not to win here tonight. He’s got panels on this lot and is easily the most talented runner in the race. Since winning his first race start here in the Apple Isle, he’s come up against the states best chasers, and found the step up in grade just a little beyond him. There’s no Hellyeah Bolt or Black Rip in this and he should find the top from the get go and race right away here from this line up.
The 515m trip is the right distance for this fellow and now he’s got the vacant box beside him he’s got no excuse. He is far better and much faster, and he should just win.
Great multiple anchor.
Shepparton Greyhounds Race 6 Box 3 Sisco Rage, 8.48pm
The young Sisco Rage might be worth an each-way ticket here tonight in this. His form is terrible, but don’t let that turn you off, he’s not a bad animal when he can find the bunny and clear running. This isn’t a hard race here tonight and if he can lob in behind them early on, he may match it with them all the way to the finish.
His wins have come over the shorter journey early on, but at odds of $15.00 or more tonight he’s worth an each-way ticket.
Best of Luck
$$ Another Day Another Dollar $$
We had a solid night Thursday night With 3 winners from 5 selections. Phantom Jewels got the job done nicely at Albion, Fast Turtle won well at Hobart and Lika Boss dominated them at Dapto.
The Meadows Greyhounds Race 5 Box 1 She’s Our Chloe, 8.38pm
She’s Our Chloe is boxed to perfection and gets her chance to bounce back into the winners circle here. She’s back from a spell and shout ping straight out of the boxes and lead. She’s only run 30.28 here, but she’s certainly worth a eachway ticket from the good draw.
Gimme Fuel looks the dog to beat, but he’s been a little disappointing in his last couple here.
Britton’s kennel is on fire at present and I suggest having a small eachway wager here tonight.
Wentworth Park Greyhounds Race 3 Box 2 Watta Jackpot, 8.07pm
The Northern Rivers trainer Bob Cooke brings his little Vapour Whirl chaser to Wenty Park for the first time. It’s not an overly hard race and she does possess enough early toe to lead these here in this. She’s more then capable of running around the 30.10 mark and if she does, she’ll be super hard to catch.
Best of luck
$$ Another Day Another Dollar $$
Albion Park Greyhounds Race 3 Box 8 Phantom Jewels, 7.26pm
Fourth time in a row I’ll be putting the cash on this girl. Her last four starts have resulted in three seconds and a third. She couldn’t be any more consistent and will get a huge chance to win this race here tonight.
Thunder Rocks and Rose Of Galo look the only other two runners who can win. Rose of Galo should lead and both Thunder Rocks and Phantom Jewels will be the pursuers. Phantom Jewels is the strongest runner of the three and she’ll be revving up hard mid way through the race. Rose of Galo struggles in the run to the line, and she’ll be a sitting duck for Thunder Rocks and Phantom Jewels.
Box eight suits her and if she does not win tonight, she won’t get any more of my money.
Angle Park Greyhounds Race 1 Box 2 Dyna Quilton, 7.11pm
Dyna Quilton will get more then his fair chance to win this race here tonight. He’s in good form after winning his last two starts, one in a best of the day at Gawler, where he recorded a fast 22.76. The 515m trip will prove no problem for this fellow and he should jump either to the lead or just in behind the early pace. If he can sit just in behind them and find the front in the early stages of the race he should be able to go on and win the the race.
Most of the Wheeler dogs end up winning a least one or two races over the Angle Park 515m trip and at odds of $6.00 or more he looks a solid eachway chance here tonight.
Dapto Greyhounds Race 5 Box 2 Lika Boss, 8.55pm
I’ll stick with Lika Boss here in this, as he’s won over the trip, is in great form and loves the inside running. He’s run fast time here and should land straight on the bunny here tonight and make it three on end. The danger is the talented Supercell but he’s very unreliable and can make alot of mistakes. I don’t believe the bend start will suit him, and I’ll be laying him here tonight.
Stick with Lika Boss, who is the class and in form runner of the race.
Punters looking for a little value should throw My Friend Mitch in. He’s very consistent here and has been in solid form recently. With a little luck he could certainly run a place in this.
Hobart Greyhounds Race 6 Box 1 Fast Turtle, 9.05pm
The daughter of Collision and Night Storm should be winning here again tonight and making it two in a row. I’ve followed this girl closely since her track debut, and she’s been a great little chaser despite injury concerns. She got the job done last start at Devonport from the red, and will have no problem pinging and leading all the way here again tonight. She should run out the 500, and it appears she’s being worked up to the 500 for the first time.
But first things first she needs to get through here tonight. She’s run 26.46 here previously and I expect her to improve. And from the red I’ll be putting my money on.
Sandown Greyhounds Race 8 Box 1 Coolan Blue, 9.35pm
After winning very easily last start, Coolan Blue must be the dog to beat here again tonight in this. He used the red box to perfection last start when recording a PB of 29.36. This is no harder and he does look the likely leader as they round the first turn. As long as he stays out of trouble through the first bend, I can’t see how they can beat him. At odds of $2.80 or so, he’s probably tonight’s best multiple anchor and I would be placing many multiple bets behind him tonight.
Best Of Luck
$$ Another Day Another Dollar $$
Itâs probably logical that in greyhound fields of six, seven or eight, lots of favourites will be at a short price. But how short is reasonable? The quality of runners is one thing, but the uncertainty of racing is a huge factor which is often forgotten.
Consider, for example, how odds-on favourites fare at the four major tracks in Brisbane, Sydney and Melbourne.
More than one in five of all races have such a favourite. But you will never make money out of them. A survey of the last 100 races at each track tells a consistent story (covers major meetings only).
So, of the 90 odds-on pops barely half succeeded. Assuming an even dollar on each, an average dividend of over $1.80 is needed to break even. In practice, many are much shorter than that so you would have to be very patient to hang on long enough to get that result â if ever.
Of course, there is not much point betting furiously just to break even. And making a profit would be almost impossible in the long run, even if you try to second guess the market.
So why does this happen?Â Two factors depress prices. First, mug gamblers may be inclined to look for the âbetter than bank interestâ outcome, thereby providing some cash for the next round of drinks. Second, a dinkum punter may well be caught by a drop in the price as the late money flows through the system. This is particularly difficult to anticipate when multiple race clashes are scheduled by TAB’s and racing authorities.
And why do they lose half the time? Most often because the betting market gets too worked up about certain indicators. A last start winner is always popular, yet the circumstances of the race may well be different this time around â a worse box, for example (eg Shifty Sticka or Ozzie Bale at The Meadows last Saturday). Following a popular tipster is another common habit â the less people work out the form for themselves, the more often they will take someone elseâs word for it. The related problem here is that in a small market â as in most greyhound races â a higher proportion of investors are checking what the main tipster is putting up and following his lead. Even when he is right, the price will still be wrong, so you lose in the long run.
(An aside â at the above Meadows meeting seven of twelve Watchdog selections started at what I would rate under the odds. The other five were short but not far off the right price. None of the twelve won).
In other words, if you want profits, forget about WIN betting on odds-on favourites. You may have a much better chance with one of the exotic options (but never Trifectas, as Mystery bets have ruined the value there). Indeed, many punters have already gone down that road, which would be one reason that WIN betting has been declining in importance over recent years. Seeking a better deal fromis seldom wise either, with the house taking out about twice as much there as for normal tote betting.
Of course, the reverse also applies. If the favourite is at âundersâ â which is very often – then other dogs will be at âoversâ. The trick then is to identify races where the prices are unrealistic and back the dog that offers genuine value.
One such race came up the other day â the Sale Cup â where I suggested that Phenomenal at an average price of $1.50 was poor value in the circumstances, yet Dyna Willow at $6 or so was over the odds. If you ran that race a hundred times I daresay both these dogs would win a big share of them. On declared form, the actual winner, Dyna Nalin, would seldom succeed, so was poor value at $8 (although it did put in an improved run in the final). To put it another way, at those prices you would have a lot more chance of making profits by backing Dyna Willow rather than Phenomenal.
This brings up another factor which affects price setting. Phenomenal gained his short price because of two previous good runs, one a track record at Horsham (570m) and the other it’s smart heat run at Sale. Everyone therefore expected a repeat in the Cup final. Yet, although this is a top galloper, only about 15% of dogs manage to win two in a row.Â Three in a row is much rarer, especially as the standard is usually improving and dogs that can do that are almost always brilliant beginners.
There was a huge rise in class from Horsham, in a small field, to the heat at Sale and another big rise in the final. The Horsham record was a terrific run, but was recorded in an all-the-way win against very ordinary dogs which it beat by half the length of the straight. In effect, it was like a solo trial. In the Sale heat, the dog was pretty much on its own for most of the race. So the odds were that Phenomenal was due to strike traffic problems, which was exactly what happened in the final.
The message is that dogs are not machines and cannot be expected to keep repeating top runs. Indeed, it is often wiser to ignore record-breaking runs and judge a dog on its overall performances as well as the circumstances in the race in question. Doubly so if it is not a smart beginner â like Lucy Wires or Xylia Allen, to name just two, which also are frequently well under the odds.
(Xylia Allen and Phenomenal both missed out in the Cranbourne Cup heats last night and both were at odds-on. And that is a track which suits them much better. Weak dogs never feature in the finish there, and there is usually room to come from behind, providing you can get through the ferocious first turn).
In passing, one big change would ease the problems mentioned here. Combining all Australian pools would not only make prices more stable but it would also introduce a greater variety of opinions, thereby reducing the impact of the donkey vote, so to speak. With quantity would come an increase in quality.
Last day of 2013, and I can’t wait for the year to end.
It’s been a huge year for, with a new and ever expanding team , bigger and better news and exciting new things to come for 2014.
The last few months have brought few winners on the punt, so I can’t wait for 2014 to start a fresh. We kicked off the year with a bang, at times finding 5 winners a night. We had plenty of big priced winners and short priced winners in the first half of the year.
The second half of 2013 has been a costly time, but the show must go on and let’s hope 2014 is a bigger and better year on the punt.
Ipswich Greyhounds Race 4 Box 3 Waza’s Tycoon, 4.04pm
I’m going to tip my name sake here in Waza’s Tycoon in this 431m race at Ipswich. Warren Williams owns and trains and the son of Knocka Norris, who is coming off a maiden heat and final win last start at Ipswich. This is no easy race so he should represent value here. He hails from a good litter and can spring away here and find the top. As is the case with most bend start racing, the dogs who get out and go early, are generally the ones who win the race.
With a tonne of early speed in this expect carnage at the first turn. He’s run good time in winning at Albion and gets his chance here today.
Lismore Greyhounds Race 5 Box 8 Midnight Nan, 8.42pm
A huge sum was paid for this girl at Coonamble during the big carnival. She’s bred to run the distance and it appears as if she’s been targeted towards this race. I know a big opinion was formed about this girl by the owners, so solely based on that, I’m going to be having a eachway go on her here in this tonight. It’s not a hard race and it does appear an open one.
As long as she’s backable odds have a punt.
Cannington Greyhounds Race 6 Box 2 Sunday Morning, 11.37pm
Sunday Morning gets the nod here, she’s won in 30.58 and if she reproduces that she’ll romp in. She should be the first to find the rails and once she does it will be super hard to run her down. Box 1 runner Funny Man should improve from the rails and he’s likely to be there at the business end. Sunday Mornings form is only steady so I’d only go backing her if she’s at odds of $3.00 or more.
Big watch on the red runner Funny Man.
Best of luck
HAPPY NEW YEAR
If youâve ever wondered if thein a racebook or formguide are worth much more than a passing glance, the following may just open your eyes a little.
From the late 1980s to the late 1990s I freelanced at different times for DeFax Sporting Publications in Sydney. At that time DeFax was supplying formguides to almost every greyhound track in NSW, with something like 40 meetings being put together each week.
In those days, despite computers and data processing, the Internet either didnât exist or, when it finally did, was still very much in its infancy, nothing like the behemoth it is today. With each state running its own database of form, and all in differing styles, it was the fax machine upon which much reliance was placed.
For example, when a Victorian greyhound was engaged at a NSW track, we would contact National Greyhound Form and ask them to send a fax of the relevant dogsâ form. This would then be added to the NSW database, although usually just the number of starts and placings and the last six or so races in a bit more detail.
The bottom line was that the work of checking each racebook was time intensive, and to supplyfor tracks like Cootamundra, Dubbo, Broken Hill and the rest meant that in most cases the selections were made at about 30 seconds per race.
I often wondered if the locals who used DeFax took any notice of the selections, because if they were of the belief the picks were the result of lengthy and informed form study, they were sadly mistaken.
The only tracks where more effort was put into the picks were the TAB circuits like Gosford, Dapto, Bulli, Richmond and the like.
Also, a lot more effort was put into the selections for the Wentworth Park Saturday and Monday meetings, where I would go upstairs to the GBOTA office and watch the video replays of the previous couple of meetings.
For me, being a regular at the city meetings meant I knew most of the runners and had a pretty good idea of assessing most races. Even so, the selection process for both meetings had to be completed by the previous Thursday.
The DeFaxfor Saturday night were sent to theÂ Daily TelegraphÂ and appear in the Tipster Poll at the top of the Wentworth Park formguide. I wasnât any better or worse than most; the best I ever managed being seven winners on top, out of 10 races.
Major race finals were, quite often, some of the easiest to assess, and in this regard one race sticks out in my mind, the 1999 National Derby final at Wentworth Park.
After the run-offs the race looked as good as over, with Queensland star Faithful Hawk drawn well in box seven. He had the early speed, sectional times, and overall run home times to be the deserved favourite. However, when watching the video replays I noticed the dog drawn in box six for the final was a good beginner who veered slightly right at the start. Faithful Hawk jumped to the left, and I thought it would only take a brief 2/100ths of a second âpropâ by Faithful Hawk at the start to let the only other chance in the race, Hahn Bale (box four), steal enough of a break to lead into the first turn and take the race. I wrote as much in the DeFax preview and put my money where my mouth was on race night, taking the 5/2 ($3.50) about Hahn Bale.
As the bunny rolled for the start of the Derby final my eyes were glued to the six alley, and, sure enough, it popped out quickly and went slightly right, holding up Faithful Hawk for that vital moment. Hahn Bale began well from box four and led narrowly into the first bend from Faithful Hawk before going on to score by almost five lengths in race record time.
As readers of this website are well aware, the videos of heats and semi-finals are available almost as soon as they are run and can be watched over and over again from the comfort of your own chair. When the field for a final is completed and the box draw done, it is well worth having a look at the heats and noting the way each of the eight finalists begins from the boxes and the line they take in the early part of a race.
The moral of this story is quite simple: make your own judgement and ignore the tipsters. Youâll find, over time, your selection processes are just as good, if not better, than many of the so-called âexpertsâ.
Only 2 days to go before 2014, so let’s hope we’re able to find a few winners before the years out.Â We’ve been struggling of late so let’s hope we can turn it all around.
Albion Park Greyhounds Race 1Â Box 1 Ruby Swift, 6.43pm
A small opinion was formed about this bitch early on.Â She was taken to Coonamble months ago and well backed, but she didn’t fire there and is yet to fire here in QLD.Â She draws the red here tonight in a field that she can beat.Â She’s unlikely to start favourite but won’t be a big price.
She’s a quick beginner and can get out and lead these.Â If she manages to lead and skip away in clear running she’ll be mighty hard to beat in this.
She’s probably capable of running around the 30.50 mark and that will be enough here tonight to win.Â There will be no excuses for her here tonight.
She’s in form, she’s drawn the right box and gets a field she can beat.
Tick, tick, tick.
Angle Park Greyhounds Race 6 Box 5 Victa Brooke, 8.16pm
Huge drop in class here for Brooke, and there’s absolutely no excuse for her if she gets beat. She’s generally racing SAâs best and most of these couldn’t keep up against the top liners. Victa Brooke has a PB of 29.77 and while she’s unlikely to run that here tonight, she still should win and win with ease.Â Box five isn’t ideal, but if the real Brooke turns up I can’t see how she can be beat.
She should beat the outside runners out, and that’s all it will take for her to blitz these.
She’s down on form, but should gap these here in this tonight.
Wentworth Park Greyhounds Race 4Â Box 7 Mad Mark Azza, 8.12pm
I’m not a fan of Wentworth Park, but I’ve had a look, and Mad Mark Azza looks like he’ll go around as value and looks a winning chance in this.Â He’s owned by some prominent owners, and is in a good kennel.Â His last start third at Dapto was solid and if he can jump and stay clear of trouble here tonight, he’ll get his chance to run home strong.Â They arenât going to go real quick in this, and he’s worth an eachway ticket.
Launceston Greyhounds Race 2Â Box 3 Wild Cindy, 8.02pm
Game set and match here tonight with Wild Cindy. She’s going to start short, but she’s panels better than these here tonight.Â She has a PB of 30.24 and bad luck shouldn’t beat the daughter of Go Wild Teddy and super bitch Sultan’s Swing.
She prefers to be drawn off the track, and that’s the only concern here but with an ounce a luck she’ll kill them.
Warrnambool Greyhounds Race 8Â Box 3 Anathema 9.28pm
It’s been a while since this girl has won.Â At her best shed start red hot favourite in this, and would put them away with ease.Â But she’s not going all that well at the present.Â That should ensure she starts at around $2.40 and only at that price would I put my money on her.
She’s got the speed to lead and once in front they won’t go past her.Â As long as she jumps and gets out she’ll win.
Great bet and should win.
Best of Luck
$$ Another Day Another Dollar $$
Ipswich Greyhounds Race 6 Box 7 Maywyn’s Popper, 9.26pm
Maywyn’s Popper is well boxed and gets his chance to collect another winning cheque here tonight. He handles the outside box well and should get out and find clear room early on here. He basically only races here at Ipswich so he’s well accustomed to the track and has a PB of 30.92. Most of the field have PB’s around the same time here and I doubt whether they will go much quicker then 30.90 in this. If Maywynâs Popper jumps and gets around the first corner trouble free, he’s a big chance of burning them off and leading all the way in this.
Wentworth Park Greyhounds Race 5 Box 8 Tee Brady, 8.52pm
Tee Brady should just be winning this here tonight. He’s knocking on the door and is boxed perfectly to explode down the outside and win. He’s better than this field and only bad luck will beat the son of Cosmic Rumble.His last two placings here at Wenty were great, finishing third behind Double Twist and runner-up to Edge.
This is a massive drop in class and punters should load up.
The Meadows Greyhounds Race 5 Box 1 Frosty Jay Jay, 8.37pm
The Big White Thunder from Queensland should be worth a ticket here tonight in this. He’s back with Kel Greenough now and ran well at his last start here at The Meadows. Box one will suit and he’s got a huge motor when he’s on song. He won’t lead here but he should sneak up the rail on this inside and look to take over mid way through. Frosty Jay Jay has won here in 30.05, but he’s certainly capable of much quicker with clear room.
About $4.50 should be on offer and I suggest snapping it up here from the gun draw.
Best of luck
$$ Another Day Another Dollar $$
Albion Park Greyhounds Race 8 Box 2 Phantom Jewels 9.09pm
I’ve been closely following this girl over the last few weeks, and she’s run extremely well in her last four starts. She’s only been beat by small margins and is knocking on the door for a win. She got held up last week early on from the four box, but pushed hard to race into second and chase home the winner Waynie Boy in a fast 34.90. She’s drawn the two box here tonight, and should find the lure and the rail from the get go. She’s capable of running fast time, and if she leads here tonight; even the real dangers shouldn’t run her down. Big chance and looks a real threat at odds.
Angle Park Greyhounds Race 5 Box 2 Cosmic Way 5.07pm
We are going to have a go at picking the Trifecta here in order. Cosmic Way is that two or so lengths better then old Tercel, and these two look the standout pair once again. Cosmic Way is dropping back to the 600m trip from his last start attempt at the 700m, but I doubt that will be of concern here. Kaylarikki is a strong powerful run on type and should be steaming to the line for third. As for the others well they will need to find plenty here to threaten the main chances in this. Take the Trifecta straight out 2-5-3 and load up. $8.00 should be about the dividend.
Dapto Greyhounds Race 6 Box 8 Fantastic Barb 9.14pm
It was a nice run by this girl last week when finishing fourth behind a handy couple. She’s well drawn and should have no trouble scooting around the outside here and taking over shortly after the start. She’s already the winner of nine races and has shown that the 600m trip is right up her alley. With the most pace in the race and being the best credentialed runner, Fantastic Barb looks the clear cut winner. Load up.
Hobart Greyhounds Race 4 Box 1 Viper Surf 8.22pm
Terrible race and the only dog who should be winning this is box one runner Viper Surf. He’s a slow beginner and will likely get back in this race, but he’s a fair animal and should get his chance here against a poor line up. His last start third at Devonport was solid and he brings enough recent form to win this. Poor race but stick with Viper Surf.
Sandown Greyhounds Race 6 Box 1 Marcus Joe 8.52pm
After winning so well here last week I can’t go past this fellow again here tonight. He’s drawn the red and should once agin fly out and lead these here. Once in front I doubt he can be run be run down. He ran a super quick 29.24 here last start, and it will take a mighty effort to get past and beat him here tonight. Banjo Boy looks the only danger and he should wind up finishing second. Great exacta race.
Best of Luck
$$ Another Day Another Dollar $$
To see how Are You Being Servedâ, 2 Dec 2013).might fare in the New Year itâs useful to look at where we have come from and how we are competing. To do that, several sectors of the industry are worth looking at â dogs, trainers, betting, tracks, customers and racing. (For comments on racing management see our article â
Dogs And Their Trainers
Other than indicated below under Breeding, there is little that needs to be said about the dog population. There are plenty of good, average and ordinary dogs around, just as there always has been. The bigger question is how we put them together to race.
Skilful and experienced trainers are clearly a major asset to the industry. Technological resources available to them are much improved on âthe good old daysâ, not least of which are improved transport options.
lost its second spot in the pecking order to Sports betting in 2013, according to the latest national figures from the Australian Racing Board. (Some totals are affected by rounding).
|Code||Share||Change v 2011||Total Betting||Change v 2011|
|Sports||16.3%||+ 1.9%||$3.99b||+ 19.7%|
|Greyhound||15.3%||+ 0.7%||$3.74b||+ 9.1%|
|Harness||9.5%||- 0.5%||$2.32b||- 9.1%|
We have used 2011 as a comparison because 2012 data in the Harness and Greyhound codes was incomplete. Note also that the above figures do not include , which refuses to provide annual turnover data to the ARB.
Back in 2003, Thoroughbreds held over 70% of the market and Greyhounds 13%. Sports betting was then in its adolescence. Since then total betting has gone up by 59%, largely due to the growth of Sports betting, while the CPI has risen by only 30%. However, the last two years barely matched inflation.
The other major features of the all-code market have been a fall in the relative importance of Win betting since 2003 â from 47% or more of the total to 44.1% today, and in Trifecta betting â down from 20.1% to 17.2%. In their place, First Four and Quadrella have risen significantly.
So where does this cash come from? Here is the all-code breakdown by state. The first column shows the basic figures, the second is after re-distribution of the NT figures (where online bookies are headquartered) in proportion to each stateâs importance.
Note the massive difference in the WA figures, where the general absence of poker machines presumably encourages residents to bet more on racing. The TattsBet states of Queensland, SA and Tasmania are massively underperforming.
For Greyhounds, 78.6% of betting is done through TABs, 21.4% through bookmakers, the vast majority of which is done online. Oncourse bookmakersâ turnover is negligible in both Greyhound and Harness codes.
In these next two areas, Greyhound statistics are badly out of date. The latest figures from Greyhounds Australasia are for 2011. Note also that all our figures exclude NZ operations as they have little bearing on Australian racing and also started from a much lower base.
From our base year of 2003 to 2011 the number of greyhounds named fell by 1.7% – from 12,008 to 11,800 – and the number of litters registered by 11.0% – from 3,209 to 2,887. No figures are published for exports.
From our own resources, we know that the number of dogs actually racing at any one time has risen marginally over the last few years, and sits just below the 14,000 mark. But they are tending to race more often.
That arithmetic means that more dogs are racing from each litter with the clear implication that there is less culling and more low standard dogs are reaching the racetrack.
In quality terms, racing over the last few years reveals that there is a shortage of dogs which can run out a distance race (700m-plus). Only a few good ones can logically be fitted into an A grade category, many are just plodders, incapable of good or consistent times, and a great many fade badly.
Clubs/authorities have embarked on a significant trend to build and/or sponsor a higher proportion of short races, both in the 400m and sub-350m categories, apparently in response to demand from trainers of dogs which cannot manage a longer trip. This is a worrying change as it suggests a lowering of the breedâs capabilities and also promotes use of trips which involve messy bend starts and less predictable results.
GA figures tell us that between 2003 and 2011 about the same number of races were held but at 2.2% fewer meetings. The number of starters also fell by 1.7%. This means more 12-race meetings were scheduled and there was a fall in the average number of starters per race, something which has been even more obvious in the last two years.
However, disguised in the national figures were falls in NSW and more particularly Queensland, and rises in Victoria and WA.
All these figures are likely to have grown by 2013. Mid-2010 saw the commencement of new policies to schedule TAB races for low standard dogs in NSW and Victoria (Class C and Tier 3), with SA following later. Of course, once such dogs have entered the system, they can be expected to filter through to normal graded races, thereby making them less predictable.
While doing well at Victoriaâs Healesville club, once-popular straight track racing is looking wobbly in both SA and Queensland and has almost disappeared in NSW. Other states have none.
The first comment might be â who knows? Published information about gamblers and punters is pretty sparse and what is available is limited to discussions about problem gamblers (in which racing apparently plays a very small part). Any research done by racing authorities remains a secret while TABs are reluctant even to tell their shareholders what is happening. So all we can do is look at the signs, none of which are positive.
- Maintenance of betting volumes and therefore prize money is underpinned by gamblers who bet into often tiny pools or buy Mystery bets â neither of which is of interest to serious punters.
- Increased patronage of low-investment, high-return bets such as First Fours, Quadrellas and Big 6s, and fading interest in Win betting, suggest at least some portion of the market is blindly chasing lottery level rewards. (Notwithstanding that some of these bet types are also being targeted by serious punters).
- Patronage has long shifted away from the racetrack and from late-night betting while twilight meetings are increasing their influence, no doubt from workers having a drink on their way home.
- Commercial formguide are apparently dropping, free guides produced by NSW for four states are barely readable and Queenslandâs is sub-standard, TAB wall sheets â marginally useful in the first place – are being replaced by touch-screen devices with even less information, and TAB counters are closing in favour of more touch-screen betting machines (many of which will not pay out until the following day).
- Race to race dividends indicate constant over-betting on favourites and poor returns for Quinella and Trifecta, mainly due to the distorting influence of Mystery bets. Sometimes, prominent tipsters influence prices, not always to the benefit of punters.
- Todayâs high frequency racing not only dilutes pool sizes but further confuses investors. It also caters for the âNext-Upâ Mystery bettors who have not the faintest idea what they are doing.
- Side-by-side displays of artificial Trackside machines and normal tote screens encourage a further dumbing down of the market.
- Rising popularity of bets â involving much higher takeouts than normal tote prices (commonly books of 130% compared to 114.5%) â reflects a growing lack of interest in getting good value.
Greyhound Race Tracks
This column has voted long and hard for authorities to commission independent studies of the art of track design. That is prompted by the widespread failure of existing tracks to offer opportunities for cleanly run races, which in turn creates a disincentive for both owners and punters to invest more. Meantime, amateur hour continues, old faults are repeated and millions of dollars are wasted. This is by far the biggest single physical problem facing, and the least acknowledged.
In the final analysis, we have a tiger by the tail as control of racing has devolved to quickfire betting outlets which target only better returns for their shareholders. By following that lead, racing authorities are hanging on to the same tail, hoping that the game will continue forever. This is unlikely.
The best you could say today is that we are getting by, largely due to funding from enough Australians who are prepared to gamble on the mixed bag of races on offer. At worst, three states â Queensland, NSW and Tasmania â face severe financial stresses.
Perhaps we should look elsewhere for trends. For example, America, the home of mechanical hare racing, has seen half of its tracks shut down in the last decade and the remainder kept afloat only by profits from associated casinos. NSW actually has more live racetracks than the entire USA. Betting in America features takeouts of upwards of 20% for state taxes and operator expenses, well in excess of that for the poker machines indoors (but similar to some TAB bet types here). It also battles heavy opposition from many states, as well as from anti-racing lobbies, as is occurring here now. The punter who can overcome takeouts of 20% to 30% has not yet been born.
As the New York Times last year reported from the track at Bluffs Run, Iowa, âAside from a few dozen aging diehards cheering the dogs from the shabby grandstand, the gambling-inclined prefer to take their chances amid the bright lights and constant action of the casino downstairs.â
Fore-warned is fore-armed. Whatâs missing in America, and is needed here now, is more passionate support of greyhounds from both racing fans and the general public. That can come only when we talk to them and they see a product of excellence and good value.
Ipswich Greyhounds Race 4 Box 6 Kesh Stream 4.07pm
Kesh Stream is no doubt the fastest dog in the race, but she’s badly out of form, and it’s been a long time since she’s raced well. She’s had a change of trainer and is back from a spell. Box six will suit and if she’s jumps and and gets across she’s a huge danger in this terribly weak race. Big odds should be on offer, so I suggest having a small eachway bet on her in this.
Lismore Greyhounds Race 4 Box 2 Hanify’s Gold 7.45pm
We selected this fellow when he ran second in his last start here. Tonight’s maiden is much easier and he gets the best chance he’s had to win a maiden. With the scratching of the box one runner, Hanify’s Gold now draws the rail and should jump and land straight on the bunny from the get go. He’s capable of about 30.50 and as long as he makes it around the corner untouched he should be winning this. Great bet and load up.
Mandurah Greyhounds Race 5 Box 1 Ultimate Gunn 8.57pm
Tipping the favourite here, but she does look the one to beat and should start at even money. She’s been all around the mark of late and gets the gun draw to finally salute in this. She’s speedy early and with the added advantage of box one, she looks far to good here for these. Box five runner Cosmic I’m Nuts, is the main danger but has to contend with the awkward box five trap, and will probably be giving away a start here to the fav. Great Exacta race.
Best Of Luck
$$ Another Day Another Dollar $$
An interesting sidelight to last Thursdayâs Hobart Thousand was the interaction between dogsâ running styles, the way the race was run, and the nature of the track.
First, Paw Licking excelled itself out of the box and in the run to the turn. Yes, it did run quicker than Black Magic Opal in its heat (5.04 v 5.11) and even quicker again in the final (4.99) with BMO hot on its heels. Relatively, these were marginally better times than its career average. So be it, thatâs the fortunes of racing.
(Note that, this time, the above sectionals are pretty accurate, unlike most of the nonsense published in Tasmania).
Anyway, in doing that, Paw Licking not only took the other dogâs running but forced it to race where it is less comfortable. BMO had to keeping thinking about what it should do. There was never more than a length between them all the way to the turn and Paw Licking likes to race one or two off the fence
Around the turn Paw Licking got even further away and BMO had more ground to make up by the time it entered the straight, got to the rail, and reached maximum speed. Overall, BMO is definitely the better dog but not on this night.
A reason for that is that Paw Licking not only got away really well, but it also is extremely quick on the bend, more so than most dogs. Thatâs the nature of its galloping action. For another example of the same thing, go back to the final of the Ballarat Cup. Ronan Izmir led down the back straight but Paw Licking, on its outside, then overtook it on the turn and led into the straight, only for Ronan Izmir to pour on the power in the run home for a strong win, much as BMO tried to do in Hobart.
All these episodes, incidentally, tell us that most of these dogs are optimised for races around the 450m mark, not for 520m (which would have been a good reason for BMO to head to Hobart in the first place, rather than compete in the Brisbane Cup series over the longer trip).
Go back to my article on 25 November (Magic, Yes, But Not Yet a Champion), where I demonstrated that, relatively, BMOâs win in the Melbourne Cup at Sandown (515m) was at a substantially slower rate than its wins in shorter races, more so than might be expected over the longer trip. That was noticeable in the Geelong Cup, where the box positions were the reverse of Hobart and it easily beat Paw Licking and created a new record. In practical terms, the Melbourne Cup was lost by other dogs while the Geelong Cup was won by sheer brilliance.
This underlines a somewhat misleading description of such dogs as one-turn specialists. In practice, the nature of the track has little to do with it â the real answer is that they are better over the shorter trips. Thatâs where their speed is optimised.
There was a time when big track and circle track dogs were more clearly defined. For example, I once ran a survey of hundreds of dogs racing at each of Maitland and Wentworth Park and found that the former lot averaged 2 kg heavier â ie there was a tendency for them to be big striders, needing space to work with. Of course, that check occurred well after Harold Park had closed, but the remnants of the breeding patterns were still there in the Hunter, and so were their big tracks. Their historical focus had been to launch them locally at Maitland and Cessnock, and then head to the wide open spaces of Harold Park. Geelong played a roughly similar role in Victoria, as did the Gold Coast in Queensland.
It seems that progress, if you can call it that, has involved an increasing preference for speed sires and speed racers, perhaps even smaller or less robust dogs (although I cannot verify that). That trend has paralleled – or prompted – a rise in the proportion of shorter races today. Yet all the big cash (except at Hobart) is being offered at circle tracks and big striders will often have problems there â at least on average (although the versatile Farmor Las Vegas is a hefty 37 kg). The Quinella dogs in the Hobart Thousand are both in the 31-32 kg range while the field averaged 33.1 kg.
To some extent, none of this is new, but it does point out that oils ainât oils. Some dogs get around tight tracks better than others; some are the reverse, while others donât care one way or the other. But BMO lost this race because of circumstances, not because of raw ability. Such is racing.
More widely, is this a further clue to the declining number of dogs capable of running out a distance race?
Last Thursday night posed another peculiar move. In its wisdom, GRV grabbed hold of an opportunity and rammed into the program an additional meeting at Shepparton, made up of lowly maidens and T3 campaigners. This onâs busiest night of the week with four capital cities racing, plus a feature night at Dapto, plus Warrnambool and Mandurah.
All told, the evening saw eight greyhound meetings, including the Hobart Thousand final and heats of the Laurels, as well as three harness and one gallops meeting in a space of five hours or so. How on earth is it possible for a punter to find his way through all that? The answer is he canât. Clashes are unavoidable, confusion reigns, some meetings are just ignored and betting pools are diluted below the level of true interest.
Is that dilution worthwhile? If you are chasing mug gamblers alone, it probably doesnât, as they are going to bet on something with whatever they have in their pockets. But for anyone wanting to see how the betting market develops, preferably to a high level, it is disastrous. Not only is the patronage split every which way, but it takes more time to funnel the information through the communication system and more space to display it to live customers, meaning they tend to see even smaller portions of the final pool, while race clashes are inevitable.
A minor factor complicating this process is the continued presence of Duet betting, one of the most nonsensical products ever dreamed up in racing history. Each successful gambler will end up splitting $100 or so with an unknown number of fellow gamblers, achieving a totally unpredictable dividend. Itâs clearly not worth the TABâs administrative costs in running it and it certainly diverts business from Quinella and Exacta pools which are always in need of a boost. In short, the product is a lemon. Why donât racing administrators call for a ban?
What effect did all that have on other betting? Hard to tell but note that Paw Licking paid less on Tattsbet ($7.90) than in the other two jurisdictions. Considering the high quality of the field, the pool sizes on the Hobart Thousand were pretty ordinary, and often exceeded by week to week pools at the major tracks.
|Victoria||$27 515||$12 761||$11.00||$1.30|
|NSW||$16 517||$15 349||$9.30||$1.30|
|TattsBet*||$15 549||$22 759||$7.90||$1.40|
* TattsBet covers Northern Territory, Queensland, SA and Tasmania. WA is in the Victorian pool.
Having the home track did not help TattsBet much. The high Victorian figure no doubt reflects Tasmanians deserting the local tote in favour of the more robust one in Melbourne.
Timers still wonky. Hand-timing for 484m â not noted on results page â and no sectionals. Been going on for weeks. Some modest repairs are called for, but no big money, please. The track does not meet modern standards and, in NSWâ stringent financial climate, is overdue to be amalgamated with the adjacent Lismore operation.
Albion Park Greyhounds Race 1 -Â Box 4 Super Vision, 6.43pm
Surely this girl can pinch this one here tonight.Â She’s run six placings from eight starts here and earnt $4715 for her efforts.Â She’s run fast time in being placed and always puts 110% effort in.
This is no easy task with many Â winning chances, but she’s got the early toe to offset the box and could find herself in front here early on.Â Once finding the top she can carve out solid sectionals and at about $10.00 here tonight, she’s a huge each-way hope.
Angle Park Greyhounds Race 1Â - Box 1 Wonder Whirl 7.12pm
Easy money here tonight with Wonder Whirl.Â She should start at about $2.00 and that’s a terrific price for such a moral.Â Nothing’s ever unbeatable, but she’s as close as its going to get here tonight.Â She’s in terrific form and last week carved out a solid 29.86, but she’s certainly capable of quicker.Â Dee Dee Corsair is the main danger and he has enough early toe to lead them up here tonight.Â As long as Wonder Whirl gets safely around the corner in second she’ll have no trouble blowing him away in the run to the line.
Great bet and I’d also suggest having a go at the Trifecta- 1 from 2 and 3.
Dapto Greyhounds Race 6Â - Box 4 Ding’s Chance, 9.14pm
Fastest dog on the race is Dings Chance, and I really liked the effort he put in when running second last week.Â If he can get away safely in the leading division here tonight, he has the speed to burn them of mid way through. His run was huge last week and he’s the fastest dog in the race by a long way. He should be around $6.00, so back him each way with confidence.
Hobart Greyhounds Race 8Â - First Four 9.42pm
The Final Group 1 for the year the Hobart Thousand, and Black Magic Opal looks too speedy and too classy for this very talented line up. I suggest taking the first four. MyÂ selections are
Black Magic Opal to beatÂ 6,7-6,7-2,5.
After breaking the record and drawing box 8 it’s hard to see the Champ being beat here in this $75,000 to the winner final.Â Great race and one many will be eager to watch.
Best of Luck
$$ Another Day Another Dollar $$
Greyhound BettingÂ Sunday 15th October.
Albion Park Greyhounds Race 8Â Box 2 Golfing Amy, 7.19pm
0-2 wins staying race here, and what a ordinary field it is engaged.Â Golfing Amy is bred and owned by John Pollock and looks the clear cut winner at about $2.50.Â She certainly improved in her last couple and seems to be racing with great vigour. She’s yet to record a win here at headquarters, but tonightâs race should ensure she does.Â Box 2 is perfect and she should land midfield early and simply prove far too strong in the run to the line over the 600m journey here.Â Great bet and should win.
Sale Greyhounds Race 9Â Box 2 Dee Plane Wayne, 8.27pm
Tough heats of the Grv bred maiden.Â I’ll stick with the Wayne Vassalo trained and Tyrone Whittington and Greg Sprod owned Dee Plane Wayne. The trainer and owner combination has tasted great success, and there’s no doubt this fellow will be of high quality.Â Box 2 is always better then a middle box, and the first starter by Collision should enjoy being drawn near the rail.Â He’s a first starter so not much to go on, but he’s well bred and is owned and trained by serious greyhound players, so stick with him.
Best Of Luck
$$ Another Dollar Another Dollar $$
Ipswich Greyhounds Race 6 Box 1 Spring Justice, 4.39pm
Spring Justice is fresh from a spell, and with a PB of 24.97 he’ll be super hard to beat from box one.
While there is some talented runners engaged, he does have ordinary beginners boxed around him and as long as he jumps he’ll win.
The Gardens Race 6 Box 1 Cawbourne Looney, 5.30pm
This girl grows a leg from the red and has the Newcastle Cup in her keeping in my opinion. She can run fast time and can begin very quickly to lead these. Once she finds the top and the rail she really let’s rip.
The only danger to her is Pride Of Egypt and Group 1 winner Smart Valention. But both will be spotting her a big start and I doubt they will pick her up on this track. Great bet.
Bendigo Race 6 Box 6 Freddy’s Smile, 5.05pm
The talented Freddy’s Smile just wins this race here tonight. He was a close up in the Sandown Cup and has continued on with that consistent form. He should settle in just behind and looks far to good here.
Ema’s Princess looks the clear cut second pick and she should find herself in the leading division from the get go. These two dogs look a clear cut above the rest and should run the exacta. Great multiple betting race.
Best Of Luck
$$ Another Day Another Dollar $$
Another huge night of racing tonight, with the running of the Group 1 Hobart Thousand. Australia’s best one turn dog Black Magic Opal will start the overall favourite. But with Rewind coming out of retirement and never finishing worst then second at Hobart and being beat by tiny margins in the last two Hobart Thousand finals, he’s one dog who wonât let the Opal get it all his own way.
Albion Park Greyhounds Race 6 Box 7 Phantom Jewels, 8.28pm
Big run here last week by this girl and she’s boxed to win here tonight. She’s a slow beginner but may find herself up the front and leading this field, with very little early pace engaged.There’s no doubt the timing mechanism Â has made the overall race times 2/10s quicker,Â so a little disregard has to be implemented when assessing race times at present. But with that being said, she’s very strong and is easily capable of breaking 35.00 seconds here. She got home really well here last week, but wasn’t going to catch the leader Waynie Boy.
He’s not engaged here in this and there’s no excuse for her not to win this race. She is better than these, is in form and well boxed. Phantom Jewels is a great winning bet.
Angle Park Greyhounds Race 5Â Box 5 Victa Scott, 8.38pm
Victa Scott gets his chance to bounce back to the winners circle tonight. He’s won from box five and has recorded a sub 30.00 run on a couple of occasions.Â He’s been racing over the longer journey recently, but he should still posses enough pace to be in the leading division early on.Â With the right run and a little luck, he can certainly be backed eachway with confidence.
Dapto Greyhounds Race 3Â Box 7 She’s Quoted,Â 8.10pm
Tricky race with a few winning chances.Â She’s Quoted will represent good value and can certainly win.
Box seven won’t help her, but if she can get across and find the fence early on, she’s very strong and can wind up late to run over the top of these here. Jeremy Jet is the likely favourite and the hardest to beat. But he’s in poor form and will need to find his best here to win. If She’s Quoted can land in front of Jeremy Jet early, Iâm confident she can beat him home. Eachway.
Hobart Greyhounds Race 10Â Box 4 Rumbling Rick, 10.50pm
We will have to wait till the last here tonight, but I like the chances of Rumbling Rick here in the last heat. He jumped well here last week before being checked out of it.Â He was entitled to miss a place last week, but to his credit he rallied hard and chased with intent to find his way back into a place.Â He should come out between Varcoe, and Black Rip and he’s the strongest of the 3 runners.Â If these three find the clear front, then expect Rumbling Rick to be finishing the strongest.Â Box four won’t worry him and he is a big chance here.
Sandown Greyhounds Race 8 Box 1 Gold Town, 9.35pm
The last four runs of Gold Town have been nothing short of brilliant. And now he’s drawn box one, I doubt whether he can be beat.Â He’s in striking form and has been getting home like a train in his races.
He’s won four races from box one and will get the perfect sit behind a few here early.Â Once in the straight expect him to blast straight past these here to win. Great bet.
Best Of Luck
$$ Another Day Another Dollar $$
Ipswich Greyhounds Race 1 Box 7 Citi Flyer, 3.07pm
I can remember many years ago when I had a handy young dog who I thought would âjust winâ at Ipswich on a Wednesday night in a maiden 520 at Ipswich. While milling around the enclosure I encountered a young striking black dog, which really looked like a star. He turned out to be just that, beating my dog by 6 or so lengths and running a flying 30.52 in a maiden.
By Bit Chilli from Citi Heritage was Citi Hawk, and this fellow, Citi Flyer, is a half brother to him. Trained by the Mackenzie-Ross family this fellow only needs to be half as good as his half brother to win this maiden here today. I’ve been told he trialled well enough to win this, and punters can look forward to a strong showing by the son on Fear Zafonic. Eachway.
Lismore Greyhounds Race 5 Box 2 Miss Lauryn, 8.05pm
It’s been a long time coming, but Tony Brett has finally stepped Miss Lauryn up to the distance trip. Her mother Queen Lauryn holds the track record here and while Miss Lauryn won’t break it, she should still win this here tonight. She’s a sub 30.00 winner over the 520 at Albion Park and generally comes from behind in doing so. The 630m trip will suit and she may find herself much more forward early here tonight. While the competition is stiff, she does look the one to beat and should be a great winning bet.
Warragul Greyhounds Race 10 Box 1 Gardam Ace 9.50pm
It’s been a while since this fellow found the winnerâs podium. In his last 5 starts he’s drawn badly and really raced poorly. He’s first up from a short spell so he should fire out of the boxes in the red tonight. It’s a very tough race and any of the dogs can win this, but he’s equally as good as anything in this field and should acquit himself well from the red. At odds of over $10.00 he’s worth the punt here tonight.
Best of Luck
$$ Another Day Another Dollar $$
Albion Park Greyhounds Race 4 Box 3 Classy George, 7.44pm
The obvious favourite here will be last weekâs tip in Trek Fox from box 1. But I wasn’t impressed by his run and felt he could have run a much better time that he did. Classy George on the other hand, should race really handy in this and could be the value runner here. All his racing has been here at Albion Park, with 27 starts for 3 wins with numerous placings. He’s well overdue for a win and he won’t get a better chance than this tonight to bring up win number 4. He should bounce out quickly and will look to roll forward early on and with luck he’s a great winning chance.
Angle Park Greyhounds Race 1 Box 1 Solo Si, 6.36pm
I’ll stick with Solo Si, here for trainer Chris Martin.I don’t like the favourite Lotsa Fun Gunn from box 7, although he does look to be too speedy and classy for these. After watching the replays he may get caught up a little if he doesn’t ping and run the moment the lids fly. If he happens to find trouble, then the logic danger is box 1 bandit Soli Si.He’s run quick enough time and has shown he loves the red box. His last start run was solid and with a slight amount of luck he looks a great eachway bet.
Launceston Greyhounds Race 2 Box 6 Wild Cindy, 8.03pm
Best bet tonight I believe is Wild Cindy.The daughter of former flying machine Sultan’s Swing will relish racing out in the wide box and should put these away with ultimate ease. She needs an outside box and has come up with it after she run second from box 2 last start. On that occasion she spent most of the race trying to find clear running and was only beat by a small margin. The step up in trip suits and I expect her to be winning. A great bet.
Best of Luck
$$ Another Day Another Dollar $$
Anyone headed to Brisbane for the current batch of feature races will need to do constant mental arithmetic or be caught short.
The installation of new Steraline boxes for 520m races at Albion Park has chopped a good two lengths off sectional times, and probably as much off overall times. The lid rise is beating the timer â just as occurred at Sandown and The Meadows some time ago â but dogs also seem to prefer the new boxes. Perhaps an extra help is the slightly higher grille or aperture they are fitted with? First sections in the 5.50s are becoming common where previously you took note only on the odd occasion when a dog got into the 5.60s.
So comparisons will be odious and it will not be too long before Made to Sizeâs 29.57 track record is busted. Already one 5th grader has got down to 29.67, while Tomac Bale ran 29.63 winning its Brisbane Cup heat.
This is just the start. Only the 520m boxes have been changed so far but those for other trips will follow later. When that happens you may as well throw out the record books.
Strangely, you will not hear much about this subject from the club or Racing Queensland. They mentioned the new boxes in media releases but not the effect they were going to have. Much the same occurred in Melbourne in 2011 when authorities sprung similar changes on unsuspecting punters, and instantly allowed Bekim Bale and Heston Bale to create new record times at Sandown and The Meadows. The tracks did not change, only the timing mechanism, but the publicity would have done wonders for their stud careers.
That all made life difficult for form students but what galled was the huge round of publicity pumped out by several authorities about the âamazingâ new times â all without mentioning that they were the result of a mechanical change and nothing to do with the dogs. Letâs hope Brisbane is a bit more honest.
Albion Parkâs new boxes may have another effect. There is a bigger plug between boxes 4 and 5 to accommodate the pneumatic drive, which therefore means interference in that area may well be reduced. It will take a few months to verify but winning box percentages may well change too.
Incidentally, in the six Brisbane Cup heats, containing 44 runners, only six were attracted from interstate â one from NSW and five from Victoria. No doubt the clash of feature events plays a part in organising travel plans but the lack of interest is still disappointing. Two heats were drawn with short fields and many of the local entries would not stand a chance against qualified visitors.
A related note. Over the last decade or so there have been at least five significant track alterations that affected times and also winning box figures â at Cannington, Angle Park, Wentworth Park, Maitland and Warrnambool. In these cases, the distances remained the same but the layout altered slightly, either by moving the boxes or modifying the first turn. Of those, only Cannington and Angle Park made any worthwhile announcements about the change and only Cannington re-started statistics for winning boxes, even though the track bias was altered significantly. Wentworth Park took years to switch to a 2011 base and use that as the starting date for winning boxes. At Maitland, they never have. Consequently, many punters are being asked to play with crook cards.
The mugs may not know or care, but any serious punter wants to know all about these sorts of changes, preferably well ahead of time. It offers further evidence that administrations are focussed on other things than where their business is coming from.
In Queensland the lack of interest is palpable, as further indicated by the near complete failure of their current âWerunasoneâ marketing effort. The website under that name features a tiny handful of contributions of almost no importance whatever. Boring, in fact. Of course, âWerunasoneâ is dedicated to racing participants, while the people who are needed to fund the industry â customers â are being offered nothing. Is it any wonder Racing Queensland cannot balance its budget?
Additionally, punters will have noted that Queensland reverted some time ago to publishing winning box statistics only for the previous 12 months. Previously, it had used long term figures. The new practice makes the majority of that data completely useless due to the small sample sizes. It is no consolation that Victoria does the same thing but it indicates that racing authorities make no effort to learn what people actually do with the stuff they publish.
A final note about the Albion Park track, or its successor. It has a problem first turn which causes to too many dogs to clash while trying to get into the same spot at the same time. One contributor to that hassle would be the fact that it has a very tight turn radius of only 48m. General practice in the industry now is to use 52m or more.
The Ipswich track is even tighter at 44m. So letâs hope that future track designers take note and make life easier for both dogs and punters. Since none of the designers used so far for draft plans have had any greyhound experience, hopes of that should not be raised too high. In any case, the multi-million dollar track investments needed in the near future for Brisbane, Ipswich and Cannington surely justify Australian authorities commissioning serious studies into the art of track design. Guesswork will never cut the mustard.
It’s the Group 1 Ballart Cup tonight and what a fantastic clash of speed we will witness at 9.29pm. Paw Licking, Ronan Izmir and Dark Warrior are set to clash in the $50,00 to the winner final.
Albion Park Greyhounds Race 6 Box 7 Two Up Tuffy 4.35pm
Really ordinary days racing at Albion Park, with barely a dog of any real class engaged. Two Up Tuffy is a genuine honest chaser with a pretty handy record. He’s raced by the Dinki Di team of Rick and Di O’Donnel. Rick is the Ipswich and Capalaba track photographer. In what is a very ordinary field, Two Up Tuffy gets his chance to bring up win number four at Albion Park. He enjoys outside boxes and has the speed to work his way around them early on. He’s in good form, is well drawn, and with a little luck and a speedy beginning he’s sure to be a huge eachway hope.
Bulli Greyhounds Race 3 Box 4 Flying Poppa 7.48pm
Flying Poppa gets the nod here. He’s a young dog who looks far better suited to the big track here at Bulli than at Nowra where he started his career. He came from the second half of the field here two starts back to win in the average time of 22.84. The only concern tonight is he’s drawn the middle box and he does need room to move. It’s a poor field with country dogs engaged. If the up and comer Flying Poppa can find clear space early without spotting them to much start, he’s sure to be threatening them at the finish.
Ballarat Greyhounds Race 8 Box 1 Dark Warrior 9.29pm
Dark Warrior is my tip for the Ballarat cup. There’s no doubting the chances of Paw Licking and Ronan Izmir, but from the middle boxes and being drawn together, they may bring each other undone. So for that reason I fancy the chances of the well drawn Dark Warrior in the red. Boxes win races and Dark Warrior began only half a length slower then the main two last week, so he should be up and pressing for the lead early on. His overall time wasn’t as quick but he’ll be out and on the bunny from the get go and can win this with a little luck. Fixed price will be available by one of our many sponsors and I suggest taking the fixed price early.
Best of Luck
$$ Another Day Another Dollar $$
We managed two from four last night with Dark Assassin and Blue McCool winning. Blue McCool was way over the odds I thought, and got up to win easily at very healthy $13.00. Dark Assassin was just better then even money but won well.
Let’s hope we can continue that run here today.
Ipswich Greyhounds Race 10 Box 1 Masai Princess 5.44pm
This girl failed last week when we tipped her over the 500. She’s been dropped back to the 431 here, but she did spear the lids and lead over 520, before finding trouble. She will start the favourite but she’s drawn the red and meets a very ordinary field. She’s capable of running 25.00 dead and will be winning this here today by a long margin. Easy money and hopefully evens.
Lismore Greyhounds Race 7 Box 7 Kulu Mystery 8.42pm
Kulu Mystery gets the chance to knock off the flying Cosmic Dryva, who’s aiming for win number five here tonight. Kulu Mystery comes up with the good box draw out wide, and can get the fly around them here if they jam up. She can run good time and can certainly beat these on their merits. It’s quite difficult to win three in a row, and the likely favourite Cosmic Dryva is going for five. I suggest laying her and backing Kulu Mystery for local trainer Kim Gooding.
Warragul Greyhounds Race 8 Box 7 Brent Bale 9.08pm
Easy pickings here I fancy with Brent Bale. He’s a super chaser and winner from every box. He’s got early pace and is still racing in great fashion despite his form tapering off on paper. He’s only had the three starts here for an average winning time, but he can go quicker and should run solid time tonight. It’s a very good field with many chances, but he should lead these and will take a power of beating from the top. About $4.00 should be on offer and I’ll be sticking with him.
Best of Luck
$$ Another Day Another Dollar $$
Albion Park Greyhounds Race 4 Box 2 Veno 7.45pm
This bloke looks the winner here and I’m confident he’ll get the job done. Since the introduction of the new boxes, it’s been near impossible to line up the first split times, which is certainly not good. But he has been very consistent and has looked really well in his last few starts. He’s working his way up to a win, and seems to be getting better each time. Box 2 will suit and he should get a gun run in behind a few early and look to take the lead mid way through. There’s a few in this race that can win but he’s the best drawn and he should get down around the 30.20 mark here tonight. Great bet and I doubt he’ll miss a place even if he finds trouble.
Angle Park Greyhounds Race 4 Box 7 Stone Cold Casey 7.34pm
Punters looking for a roughie should look no further then the talented Stone Cold Casey who has recorded a fast 29.98 and at one stage looked to be a very promising dog. I’m only guessing but she’s been lightly raced this year and it’s probably due to injury but she’s stood up in her last 3 and I expect a big performance from her here tonight. She’s got great early toe and handles the wide box with ease. She might find herself leading these and if she does she’ll be mighty hard to reel in. Boxes 4 and 5 are the main dangers, and don’t be surprised to see these 3 dogs run the trifecta. Stone Cold Casey, will represent value and she looks a worthy one. Each way.
Launceston Greyhounds Race 5 Box 4 Blue Mccool 9.00pm
Blue Mccool has been very consistent of late and gets his chance here against a ordinary field. He’s been racing well and although he’s a very ordinary animal he takes on a very ordinary line up. He does have speed and he can lead, or at least land close enough to win this. I doubt he’ll be bog odds, but he should start around the $4.00 mark and that looks about the right price for him.
Shepparton Greyhounds Race 8 Box 3 Dark Assassin 9.27pm
Dark Assassin, now trained by Victorian trainer Jason Thompson; should be winning and winning this well. Jason gets the best out of his dogs and should have this fellow primed for this race here tonight. He’s got a big motor and will relish once again racing around a one turn track. This is quite an easy race and punters looking for an easy kill should find it here at even money. Looks the clear cut winner and will be winning great bet.
Best of Luck
$$ Another Day Another Dollar $$
Big night ahead with the running of the Group 1 Brisbane Cup. The local charge is led by Frosty Jay Jay, Late Angel Lee and Regal Lauryn. While the top interstate raiders are Xylia Allen, Iona Seven, Kiss Me Ketut and of course Tomac Bale. Tomac Bale has drawn perfectly in box 1 and he looks certain to make next weeks final. Racing kicks of at 6.40pm Qld time.
Albion Park Greyhounds Race 2 Box 2 Zafonic Boom 7.05pm
Zafonic Boom looks a moral here tonight and should be chasing and passing the early leader Chant in the run to the line. She ran a fantastic 30.16 here last start after trailing the early leader and was too strong in the run to the line. Box 1 runner Chant will no doubt be the early leader and will make the race for Zafonic Boom. Chant burnt out in a phenomenal 5.52 first sectional last start, which is quite remarkable considering he’s 33kg. He’ll shoot straight to the front, and camped closely behind will be the likely winner Zafonic Boom. She should be far too strong in the run to the line and looks the winner. Great bet.
Angle Park Greyhounds Race 5 Box 6 Farmeroo 8.40pm
It’s been hard to find anything worth backing here tonight. It appears a night of favourites in most races. Farmeroo for Ken Gill looks the one to beat here, despite taking on the talented Set the Scene from box 3. Farmeroo has more experience and has won plenty here on the track. Set the Scene did win his heat very well, but it was in a small field against slow animals. He speared the lids and got clear room from the 8 and was far too good but it’s a far harder task here tonight, and I’ll stick with Farmeroo.
Dapto Greyhounds Race 3 Box 8 Exhibitionist 8.12pm
The talented Queenslander put in a fantastic effort to score last week after finding trouble and coping plenty of checks. The time she ran was only slow, but she’s got huge improvement in her and should easily take care of these. Jawlaa looked unbeatable in her heat last week but raced like a drunken monkey. Based on her flying 29.72 she shouldn’t get beat in this but her run last week was so poor, I can’t get excited about her. Stick with the box 8 runner for Tony Brett, she’s drawn well and looks the one.
Hobart Greyhounds Race 9 Box 8 Paragon Cove 10.28pm
Very tough race with multiple chances. I’ll stick with Box 8 runner Paragon Cove who should gain a clear trouble free run early on and during the race. His runs at Devonport have been fair as he does look to have enough ability to win this. There all very ordinary and it’s tough to justify one over the other but stick with him from the outside.
Sandown Greyhounds Race 7 Box 3 Salegreys Late 9.11pm
The very talented SaleGrey’s Late, looks to have high speed and is a very promising chaser by El Grand SeĂ±or. She’s flown around Cranbourne and had plenty of early toe. She can lead this field here and once she does I doubt they can run her down. She’s speedy and very strong and looks an early winner here in town. Massive chance and should win should she step away cleanly.
Best of Luck
$$ Another Day Another Dollar $$
Timing is everything, especially in sport. But, like many aspects of racing, starting times of races have got away fromlikes and dislikes. Or vice versa, if you like.
From Sunday to Thursday, late night racing is getting less popular all the time. As working hours creep upwards and commuting takes longer, people are now more sensitive to how they spend their evening hours.
Take last Mondayâs Albion Park meeting. The last race pulled in a miserly $4,120 on the NSW Win tote, a somewhat better $7,925 in Victoria, but a hopeless $2,640 on TattsBet in its home state â despite Queensland having the help of SA and Tasmanian punters. These sorts of figures make good betting impossible. The race started at 9:40 pm in local time or 10:40 pm in daylight saving time in NSW and Victoria. Not extreme but still late.
Even the takings at last nightâs Ballarat Cup heats were both erratic and disappointing, particularly as most of the program was competing with the trots and a latish WA gallops meeting.
For a long time now, twilight turnover has been overhauling that at night meetings. One is more or less just after knock-off time, the other is in family time. Time to put the kids to bed. Itâs even true on Fridays, when a twilight meeting in Victoria often outpaces the more traditional night meeting at Wentworth Park.
Harness racing has long been awake to the trend, often starting night meetings an hour before and finishing an hour earlier than greyhound meetings.
Maybe the inertia is due to age-old habits when night meetings were the flavour of the month, thousands had a night out at the races, and so you had to allow them time to spruce up after work and make their way to the track. And there were kudos (and cash) in getting promoted from day to night. In those days, special attention was paid to dogs with only daytime experience when they first tried the night time conditions. But no more. Itâs hard to recall the last time anyone even mentioned that subject, nor does anyone seem to think it has an impact now. Besides, the lighting is almost certainly better today.
Even the TABsâ own business model must be telling them the same facts. Not only do punters taper off as the night passes, but ClubTabs are closing earlier, many by 8 pm, they are installing automatic devices like touch screen terminals to avoid paying staff, and combining the jobs of TAB and poker machine cashiers when few fans are around. Wall sheets with racing form are starting to disappear in favour of more touch screens (although of dubious quality â race times are shown only for wins and only three races are included).
Phone and internet access are all the rage now. Considering online bookies and, as well as TABs, they must be accounting for half of all betting these days, certainly in customer numbers if not in dollars. The rising versatility of handheld devices will intensify that trend and a good portion of it will be coming from uneducated gamblers. Yet they all have to go to bed sooner or later so you need to catch them while they are still on the move.
Of course, the TABs are frantic to achieve 24 hour coverage, hence their increasing moves into international racing, never mind that locals have no idea what is happening there., with the most frequent races, plays a vital role in maintaining continuity between the high stakes gallops during the day and racing at remote locations during the wee hours. Midnight racing wonât get big money in the eastern states but somebody, somewhere, is awake and ready to bet. Itâs getting like the pokies in Las Vegas airport where they even entice you to try the pokies as you are walking to the departure gate for your flight home.
So be it, but none of that justifiesobediently saluting the TAB flag. The product is the race. You canât bet without a race, so it is time for racing to take charge again. It used to be in charge once, but then it submitted meekly as governments handed out monopoly licenses to tote companies, who bought off racing authorities with big capital payouts and then started exerting more and more control over racingâs business.
Another key ingredient in this trend is the widespread move from 10- to 12-race meetings over the years and the resultant widening of the space the meeting occupies. Chasing more cash, albeit often with lower quality dogs, has pushed races into less attractive times.
The danger lies in the fact that TABs and racing organisations have different objectives. Both like extra cash but one sees providing benefits to shareholders as its prime task while the other has the dual task of maintaining the breed while also offering a product that attracts interest and patronage throughout the.
Wall-to-wall racing and declining field quality may help TABs â although perhaps only in the short term â but they do no good for actual or potential supporters of racing. Decreasing pool sizes lead to the loss of serious punters and serve to underscore the brittle base on which racing now depends.
Already, Queensland and Tasmania are showing signs of losing traction while NSW, the largest greyhound state, is forecasting massive track closures due mostly to the lopsided commission sharing agreement signed years ago by short-sighted administrators.
Thatâs why the industry cannot afford to let slip any opportunity to improve the way the product is presented, including the time of day.
Besides, dogs would not mind some extra sleep. Trainers who have to travel long distances and then get up at dawn – even more so. And punters are voting ever more insistently.
Itâs time to go with the flow â earlier is better.
Albion Park Greyhounds Race 9 Box 1 Diamond Chisel 5.32pm
I’ve been closely following this fellow from day one and strongly believe he’s got plenty more left in him. He’s only won the two races, but he’s knocked on the door a few times. Regally bred the son of Brett Lee and Ellie’s Diamond, he draws the cherry here tonight and if he jumps, should put himself right in this race. He goes better from a wider draw but should jump and roll off on the first turn, provided he doesn’t get himself tangled up, he should shoot through and find the bunny. Once on the bunny he should run around 23.00 dead and that’s easily good enough to win this. He won’t start favourite, but he does look a great eachway bet.
Angle Park Greyhounds Race 7 Box 8 Cool Merri 2.14pm
A last start winner at Gawler Cool Merri, won her maiden well in the average time of 23.36 from box 1, but this race is much much harder. She does however look to have plenty of improvement in her and will get a clear trouble here run here. Her dam Cool In Blue was a handy chaser and handled the longer trip. With natural improvement and a little luck, Cool Meri looks a nice eachway chance at odds.
Bulli Greyhounds Race 3 Box 8 Rexroth 7.48pm
Two dog race here with chances given to Rexroth and the talented Boyce Road. I’m quietly confident Rexroth can get the cash here from the perfect box 8 draw. He won extremely well here last start, and had to really dig in and fight to win. From box 6 here last start he run a very solid 26.41. He will need to run every bit of that here tonight, but with his main danger exiting from the squeeze box, box 5 he should get the jump on him early. The only other chance is given to SeĂ±or Speedy from box 1 but he’ll need loads of luck to beat these pair of flying machines.
Ballarat Greyhounds Race 9 Box 3 Dark Warrior 9.41pm
I really like the chances of Dark Warrior here in heat 5 of the Ballarat Cup. He’s a very fast dog up to 450m and really let’s rip from the get go. He should be leading these according to my speed map, or at least up there vying for the front. Like most dogs if he finds the top he’ll be super hard to run down. He’s won from every box and has had the one start for one win here. You can make a case here for most dogs, but I’ll stick with the early speed and proven front runner, Dark Warrior.
Best of Luck
$$ Another Day Another Dollar $$
Ipswich Greyhounds Race 7 Box 1 Masai Princess 4.54pm
Mick Menken takes over the training of this girl, and there’s no doubt Mick will be confident she’ll handle the step up to 520m. The raging hot favourite will be the Ron Ball trained Swift Opulence who posted a flying 30.45 here first go last start. But she moves from the middle of the track to the outside, and she only needs a little mistake to make it tough for her to repeat that time. Masai Princess is from a good litter by Miss Manyara, a flying machine who holds a record up the straight track Capalaba. Box 1 will suit and I expect her to ping the lids and lead them early on. With a little luck and if she runs the trip she’s certainly worth the eachway bet.
Lismore Greyhounds Race 3 Box 8 Tullabrook Lad 7.23pm
I’ll stick with the inform Tullabrook Lad here for Bob Cooke, and Frank Hancock. He voiced back to winning form here last star from box 3 and this race looks no harder then last week. He’s a little awkard and needs free galloping room, but he’ll get plenty out wide early. He does appear to have more improvement and he should go quicker if winning her tonight. Only a $3.50 chance but he looks the one.
Warragul Greyhounds Race 6 Box 1 Allen Benji 8.27pm
The old boy Allen Benji has to be the on top pick here. He’s won 7 races from box 1 and barely misses a place when in the red. He’s a little out of form but he should be far to classy here for these now he’s back in the red box. Expect him to begin well then power through them early on. Once he finds the front, I doubt anything can run him down. Box 3 runner Pat Milo is the biggest threat and can show speed and win her if he pings.
Best Of Lick
$$ Another Day Another Dollar $$
We have just seen another fine run by Black Magic Opal to take out the super-rich Melbourne Cup at Sandown. Nothing else really had a chance when it scooted out in front down the back and the rest of the field smashed themselves to bits. Anything that had a chance of running down the favourite was caught up in that mess on the first turn.
But please stop calling this dog a champion. Itâs got a way to go before it justifies that title, one which is grossly over-used these days.
Champions are those that win nearly all the time, that run very fast and consistently, that are versatile, and regularly beat the best in the land. Black Magic Opal has not quite done that yet but he is on his way. As mentioned here previously, he is already the worldâs fastest greyhound up to 460m. Nothing can touch his win in the Geelong Cup, although his record 24.87 at Warrnambool 450m came very close. The same goes for his record equalling 24.92 at Maitland over 450m, while his wins at The Gardens 400m and Bendigo 425m were also excellent.
Over 500m-plus, which is the prime measuring stick, the situation is different. He has had 10 starts on three circle tracks and won six of them but, relatively, not in the same times as on the one-turn tracks. Possibly the quickest would have been 29.65 at Wentworth Park. Plenty of dogs are up to that standard, which is several lengths short of the record (Punch One Out â 29.27). And itâs nowhere the same overall speed as he has clocked up at Geelong or Warrnambool.
Black Magic Opalâs just concluded heat and final wins at Sandown â in 29.41 and 29.37 – were run in much the same sort of time. Indeed, on the night another dog (Hailstorm Billy) ran faster in winning a 5th grade heat and two others were just behind him. A previous Cup winner, Dyna Tron, had also run much faster time, as did Bekim Bale when it set the current track record of 28.95.
In short, Black Magic Opal wins because he leads and hangs on pretty well, especially up to 460m.
At two and a half years of age, Black Magic Opal may well keep maturing and, with strength, record even faster times over the longer trips. Time will tell. But it has not happened yet so it is just not appropriate to give him the champion tag. Apart from anything else, it tends to downgrade past champions.
Meantime, it is worth mentioning that the dogâs early history at Maitland and Wentworth Park was notable for erratic starts. Seldom did he jump well, although he would often be in front by the first marker. These days the move to Victoria under Jason Thompsonâs care seems to have smartened him up. He still does not jump in front but at least comes out with the field and then runs quickly to the lead.
Whatever, 26 wins from 33 starts is spectacular stuff.
Back to the Sandown meeting. Another promising dog, Tomac Bale, ran a very similar race to Black Magic Opal in what was really the Cup consolation. It led around the turn and ran away from them, not only because it is also a good dog but because chaos reigned behind him. That first turn has a lot to answer for. Xylia Allen, amongst others, got truly belted there. In both feature races, one or two inside dogs moved off as they passed the judge and started a chain reaction of nuclear proportions. In the Cup, one such mover was Shifty Sticka, which has generally been a very good railer.
That spot at Sandown has a mysterious but undefined effect on many inside dogs, promoting what I call the Sandown Two-Step. For no obvious reason they move suddenly to the right. It is dynamite when it occurs and it has been there since the track was re-built in 1988. After the first six months experience I pointed this out to the club CEO at the time and then more than once over the years to the GRV CEO (curiously, they were the same person). I supplied a large amount of evidence to support the need for a fix. Alas, it was ignored, but it is why the Melbourne Cup field got smashed last Thursday.
But look at some more recent evidence. In the last 116 races at Sandown on Thursdays (excluding maidens), 44 First Four dividends have exceeded $1,000, including for the Melbourne Cup, and 14 of those exceeded $2,000. There is no way that could happen if races were run in an orderly fashion.
A track, or part thereof, is not good because someone says so. Only the dogs can tell you, and they have spoken often. The whole thing needs redesign and rebuilding.
It might even help the running over 715m, where Thursdayâs Bold Trease field fiddled around before finally having a committee meeting on the home turn. Half a dozen of them then decided to go over the line together â one and a half lengths covered them â with one miraculously poking its nose out in front in a moderate 42.27. It would have been seven of them were it not for the fact that Amity Flame got ankle-tapped going around the home turn. A mixed Grade 4/5 race was won earlier in the night in three lengths faster time. The Bold Trease was generally forgettable.
The upshot of all this is that the industry distributed $645k in prize money over two big races where bedlam dominated. Punters across the country bet about the same again, led in by $106k on the Win tote on the Cup in Victoria alone. Happily, a lot of those folk would have doubled their money on Black Magic Opal but very few exotic punters would have been as lucky. Itâs overdue for GRV to take some action to help them
NONE SO DEAF AS …
Regrettably, it is necessary to report that Racing Tasmania and GRNSW are still telling lies. Sectional times for all Tasmanian races, published on the NSW website, are still being assigned to the winner of the race, regardless of what dog was actually responsible for them, and despite several attempts to bring the problem to the two authoritiesâ attention.
Those errors then go into the record books in the name of the wrong dogs, where they will mislead future punters. They will be best advised to ignore all sectional data from Tasmania, or even forget about betting on Tasmanian races entirely. The subject also poses questions about the integrity of the OzChase data system.
Ipswich Greyhounds Race 8 Box 2 Stalingrad 9.59pm
He’s a pretty consistent chaser this fellow and does have the ability to win this. His record here is good and he’s overdue for a win. He tends to track wide off the track early on, and he’s drawn to gain clear running with the dogs boxed around him. It’s not a good betting race with 5 or 6 genuine winning chances. So only go backing Stalingrad if he’s close to double figure odds.
The Meadows Greyhounds Race 7 Box 2 Born Ali 9.22pm
Robert Britton has made it well know he loves his stayers. Born Ali last start, ran unplaced behind the eventual Rob Britton trained winner of the Bold Trease, Cheetah Zorro. So there is no better form line then that to work on here to find the winner. It’s her second attempt at the 700, and I get the feeling she’ll adapt to the staying trip with more racing. She’s still capable of running 30.00 dead here for the 520m trip, so expect her to get out to a big lead here tonight against these. Once infront she should hold on to win but be careful taking unders here, she’s really only a $3.40 chance and nothing less at her second staying attempt. Punters chasing value may find it with box 1 runner Reckless Charm, who looks a rough eachway chance from the red.
Wentworth Park Greyhounds Race 7 Box 2 Mr. Fordham 9.30pm
The Warren and Jill Harper trainer Mr. Fordham is knocking on the door to win another here and should get his chance here tonight. Warren and Jill most recently trained star chaser Miagi who had great success as a stayer, and has been a success at stud. Mr. Fordham hasn’t really adapted to Wenty all that well, but there given him plenty of chance to find his feet here at headquarters. Box 2 will suit and he’ll get the run of the race in this. It appears a two dog race between box 1 and box 2 and I’ll stick with box 2 Mr. Fordham.
Best of Luck
$$ Another Day Another Dollar $$
Ipswich Greyhounds Race 8 Box 1 Sudoku Magic 4.47pm
Two dog race here and massive pull in the box draws here for Sudoku Magic. Commando Charles is the only danger, but will do it tough having to deal with box 6 outside. He’s in great form winning his last two Commando Charles after a injury enforced spell but box 1 will make all the difference here for Sudoku Magic. He’s got a great record at Ipswich, and has a PB of 30.78, with ordinary beginners on his outside he should punch through and lead them up early on. Once he finds the front, he’ll simply be far too good and looks a fantastic bet at about $3.00.
Casino Greyhounds Race 8 Box 6 Bralyn Spider 2.49pm
Pretty poor 620m field here, it makes me wanna buy another dog to target these races with. Bralyn Spider should be very well schooled around here, even though he’s yet to have a race start here. Owned by the Northfields, I have no doubt he would have seen the Casino circuit early on in his career in a trial. He’s the class runner and has enough early toe to work his way around them to win. He’s quite strong and should have no trouble leading or taking over this race mid way through. Once in front expect him to keep rolling and prove too classy for a very fair line up. He might start at 4s and if so, it looks a gift.
Wentworth Park Greyhounds Race 3 Box 1 Chief Hanky 7.48pm
Boxes win races and box one is given a great chance here tonight in this. Chief Hanky didn’t go all that bad, at his debut here last start when running on from near the rear for 3rd. He moves from out in the 6 to the cherry here, and he does have enough early straight line speed to position up early. They may jamb up just a little bit here from out wide, when the speedy beginners cut down from the outside. Chief Hanky has good speed and strength, and all he needs to do is adapt to two turn racing to be a major threat here in this. Go steady though as he may get headed early and look to skirt wide around the first turn, and if he’s in behind a few it will almost certainly spell the end of his chances. Should start at $5.00 and well worth the punt.
Best of Luck
$$ Another Day Another Dollar $$