Albion Park Greyhounds Race 10 Box 5 Wazz’s Fantasy 5.42pm
Big chance here given to the unlucky son of Premier Fantasy. He’s been knocking in the door in his past 3 starts and get his chance again here to win. The outside will suit and the kennel is on fire. It’s a poor field, so gone is any chance of getting good odds; but he should stay around $2.50 and at that price he will be overs. He’s got panels on this lot and should have no trouble disposing of them in sub 23.00 second time. Albion Parks best bet.
Richmond Greyhounds Race 6 Box 4 Sydenham Gem 5.15pm
Another shorty but another moral in my opinion. She’s got great early toe and has showed plenty of strength in her races. She steps up here for the first time to the hard 618 staying trip, but she looks to have panels on this field. She should burn out and find the bunny here early on, and once she does I doubt they can run her down. The daughter of Just The Best has a great record and if she stands up in this today, she may develop into a more than handy stayer on time. She looks far too good.
Bulli Greyhounds Race 6 Box 3 What For 8.48pm
I’m only tipping this fellow so we can get our lost money back from his substandard performance on Thursday night at Dapto. He finished in the placings but seems to struggle around the 2 turn circuit. Back to the one turn track here and with a flying 26.28 he should once again find himself in the winners circle. He will be favourite but he should be even money, and although it’s not always a good idea backing shorties; he just looks to fast and too strong here. Great bet and a easy way to anchor out some multiples behind him.
Best of luck
$$ Another Day Another Dollar $$
Massive day for all racing fans around Australia, with the running of the 2013¬†Melbourne Cup.¬†19 overseas gallopers take their places in the field of 24, and owner Lloyd Williams has a quarter of the field engaged with 6 runners.¬†That’s a 25% chance of winning the worlds richest handicapped race, with over 6.2 Million in prize money on offer.
Another fantastic off shoot of Cup day, is the betting pools are rather large and big bets can be placed on all racing codes.¬†Something that’s a rarity these days.¬†I’m going to cheat a little and box 8 up in a big first 4; Verema, Red Cadeux, Royal Empire, Sea Moon, Mount Athos, Masked Marvel, Dandino and Dear Demi.
Hopefully they can run the first 4.
Ipswich Greyhounds Race 8¬†Box 4 Zafonic Babe,¬†7.22pm
This girl has a great record here at Ipswich and finally returned to some form here last week when she flew out and held on for 3rd.¬†She was burnt off mid race, and once she was, she stopped chasing as hard.¬†Today’s race is far from harder, and is in fact a lot easier than last week’s.¬†The biggest question is, can she lead and can she find the top?¬†I think she can, with her best jump and a little bit of luck.¬†She’s recorded a solid 25.27 here and has won 3 from 7 over the journey.¬†Her record here is better than most and it’s really hard to make a case for any of the other runners.¬†Kikem Riddler gets his chance but he’s an old dog and will need a complete form reversal.¬†But he’s drawn the box and gets his chance.¬†Zafonic Babe looks the one and I give her a fantastic each-way chance.
Lismore Greyhounds Race 8¬†Box 2 Shoe Laces Lady,¬†9.05pm
I made a mistake tipping against this girl last week.¬†Regular followers will be aware of my following of her and I’ve won a great deal of money ¬†on her.¬†One important thing to remember is she actually beat the great Queen Lauryn’s track record when running second at Ipswich a few starts back.¬†And that alone was a huge effort.¬†While she’s only run average time here, she is 2 from 3 here and won extremely well when winning here last start. Tonight’s race is a little easier, but what does concern me is I’m not so sure she puts in 100% when on the bunny all alone.¬†She seems to chase far harder when chasing another dog, but with that being said she still looks the one to beat.¬†From box 2 she should find the top or near to it early on, and once in a winning position, she’ll prove very hard to beat.¬†She looks the one and should win.
Cranbourne Greyhounds Race 7¬†Box 5 Silent Girl,¬†6.10pm
A flying machine early, Silent Girl, ¬†possesses enormous early pace and has done so since she first won her maiden in Tasmania.¬†She won here a few starts back and should win with ease here again.¬†Box 5 will suit and she clearly has more pace than all the others in this race.¬†She’s run 17.96 here and I have no doubt she can go far quicker.¬†I generally stay away from these scamper racers, but with her enormous early pace I expect her to be winning.¬†Big chance.
Best of Luck
$$ Another Day Another Dollar $$
With the Melbourne Cup on¬†tomorrow¬†¬†I’m sure we are all looking to back a winner to have a few more pennies in our pockets to wager on Australia’s Biggest race.¬†So let’s hope we can find a few here tonight.
Albion Park Greyhounds Race 2¬†Box 1 Intensive Storm, 7.02pm
I still can’t work out whether this race is a 395m event or the usual 520m race on a¬†Monday¬†night.¬†It seems Racing Queensland is heading in a backward direction by once again scheduling 395m scamper races on a¬†Monday¬†night.¬†If this is the case, then we are certainly going backwards, rather than forwards.¬†Either way I believe Intensive Storm will get the cash and certainly now after her strong performance last start over the 500.¬†Since this girl won her maiden I’ve been closely following her.¬†From box 1 here tonight she should begin and hold out littermate and likely danger Wilhelm early on, and will look to take the lead from the get-go.¬†She’s got quite a motor on her and she will no doubt improve on her PB of 23.07 here tonight if she pings.¬†The red gives her the advantages she needs and punters should look no further then that when wagering on this race.¬†It looks a great 1-2 quinella race.
Angle Park Greyhounds Race 5¬†Box 1 Dyna Daina,¬†7.51pm
Dyna Daina is yet to win from box 1, but I’m confident tonight is the first time she does.¬†She bounced back to her best here last week, only just getting beat by iron dog¬†Tercel.¬†She led on that occasion, but was run down through the middle stages and lost sight of the bunny.¬†That shouldn’t occur here tonight and she should be on the bunny and running from the get-go against these.¬†But there is a few in this that can gallop- Dyna Aline, Token Spinner and Tango Man will all be out to spoil the party.¬†Dyna Aline is a rocket, and if she spears and leads I doubt they can catch her.¬†Token Spinner is slow early, so he will need luck and Tango Man is yet to win over the distance but box 8 will suit and he’s certainly capable of shaking things up.¬†Dyna Daina has run fast time here and with the added advantage of the red I’ll stick with her today in a tough but competitive race.
Launceston Greyhounds Race 5¬†Box 5 Mental as Ben,¬†8.53pm
I’ll go with the likely second favourite here in Mental As Ben, in this race.¬†It’s a two dog war and one in which we can hopefully back the winner.¬†Our pick Ben is the more experienced runner and that can be a huge advantage at times.¬†Box 1 Dominator Girl, has recorded a near identical time here (29.99) and will probably be off and running early in this.¬†But, given the quality of the field, Mental as Ben should zip straight into second early on, and will look to run her down.¬†With 14 starts for 4 wins I expect him to improve on his PB of 29.98 and he shoot get down around the 29.90 mark given he gains a clear and trouble free passage.¬†He will likely start the second favourite, so he’s worth the punt here in this two dog race.
Only the 3 selection here¬†this Monday¬†night, But hopefully the 3 best.
Best of Luck
$$ Another Day Another Dollar $$
Bookkeeper‚Äôs recent record run over 600m at The Meadows was meritorious, particularly from the awkward box 8, but it was out of kilter with national trends. The same was true when Wheres Keroma shaved its own 618m record at Richmond on Saturday night ‚Äď at a speed rate only a tiny fraction below that of Bookkeeper.
Since Punch One Out ran her brilliant times at Richmond (535m) and Wentworth Park (520m) six months ago there have been 35 track records listed. I ignore 11 of those which were at re-built tracks where things have yet to settle down.
Of the remaining 24 times, 19 occurred over distances less than 450m. More than half of those were for less than 400m. Then two of the remaining five were at country tracks where competition has not always been stiff. This is telling us that nearly 9 out of 10 fast runs are the work of dogs which are unable to run out a long trip. Like 500m, for example.
Even the brilliant Black Magic Opal is busy collecting records for 450m/460m at the moment, although it has performed quite well over the 500s.
Times aside, there is an increasing trend to offer shorter races. The 390m/410m group in Victoria, involving seven tracks, is proving very popular, despite their disruptive bend starts. So, too, are the new trips over 388m at Angle Park and 400m at Gawler. Grafton has introduced a 305m trip. Albion Park added a 331m trip to the existing 395m. Oldies like Traralgon 298m, Cranbourne 311m and Dapto 297m sometimes occupy half the weekly effort. 302m trips are prominent on the Mandurah card. And, sadly, Wentworth Park has brought back 280m jump-outs which we thought had disappeared some years ago. At least the MGRA had the good sense to let Olympic Park‚Äôs horrible 301m fade away when it moved to The Meadows.
Much of this action has occurred during the last four years or so and it shows no sign of abating. Where will it finish?
Already, there is a shortage of dogs which can handle 700m races, once very popular with punters. Oddly, two of the most prominent competitors came from a Wheeler background ‚Äď Miata (grandsire Lansley Bale), which must have been a breeding accident, and Irma Bale, which could not really run out a strong 700m anyway but still captured big prize money. The Wheelers make no attempt to breed staying types, obviously reckoning that there are greater rewards to be had in sprints.
Efforts in four states to stimulate interest in longer trips, mostly by subsidising provincial prize money, are simply not working as they tend to attract ordinary dogs and run with short fields.
The inevitable conclusion is that the breed is fading. The industry has now got a tiger by the tail. Every possible indicator says that the public prefer longer races but we have not got the dogs to fill them. Actually, we don‚Äôt even have enough dogs in total, which is why so many of today‚Äôs races start with short fields.
Another contributor is the recent introduction of more TAB races for low class dogs. By definition, these are unsuited to longer races and so bolster the demand for short races. And they tend to flow through into the wider system.
So what do we do now?
It is reasonable to suggest that the rising importance of squibs is not in the interests of the breed or the industry. Solutions must then revolve around the need to add stamina to racing stock. Just throwing away cash in hope of a miracle is not working. The funds must be targeted to encourage the development of breeding strains which have some hope of producing a decent proportion of strong dogs.
To add details to such a proposal needs expert analysis and advice which is beyond this column. But it is something that fits into the Greyhounds Australasia charter. It should start the ball rolling by commissioning a study to determine how, what and where. Failure to address the trend does not bear thinking about.
Not enough cash to do that? Yes, there is. Just re-direct all the unproductive money going into distance subsidies and state breeding incentives.
Incidentally, it is little consolation that thoroughbreds are in much the same pickle, hence the increasing prominence of overseas staying types in big races. Major owner-trainer groups are routinely scanning Europe for potential targets these days. Check what happens tomorrow at Flemington.
MADNESS, SHEER MADNESS
Despite several requests, Tasmanian racing authorities continue to mislead the public by assigning sectional times at its three tracks to dogs which never ran them.
Every race report assigns the sectional time to the winner of the race, never mind whether it was responsible for it or not. Consequently, individual dog records end up with the wrong information, which is repeated later on. No running order is shown so the times cannot be cross-checked. Videos are usually absent but they would be argumentative anyway because you can‚Äôt be sure where the marker is located.
GRNSW is an accessory to the crime by publishing this faulty information. In fact, they appeared in the heats and semi finals of the last two Vic Peters meetings at Wentworth Park.¬† For example, Buckle Up Wes has a bucketful of Hobart and Launceston times against its name but we have no idea if they belonged to it or not. (In practice it began well enough in the semi but was taken out by the customary scrimmage at Wenty‚Äôs first turn).
This is disgraceful. Absolutely disgraceful.
However, this is still only the tip of the iceberg. In their local formguides, authorities in Queensland, NSW and Victoria are still omitting sectional times run and published in other states. Or probably more correctly, they cannot be bothered collecting them. At the same time, sectionals at Queensland coastal tracks are rare while Wentworth Park meetings lack times run by dogs at Bulli and Maitland, the state‚Äôs major one-turn tracks, as well as many from Canberra and the Northern Rivers. Substantial gaps were evident not only in the Vic Peters heats and semi finals, but also in the Adelaide Cup series a few weeks ago, in the National Championships at The Meadows, in the TOPGUN and in many others. This is unacceptable.
The word ‚Äúcrime‚ÄĚ is used here in a colloquial sense yet a comparison is in order. If you are a public company responsible to investors you are required to publish any information which might be material to the share price, and also to ensure that any information you do provide is correct. Breaches would have you up before the judge in a flash. Big fines, bans on directors or even jail sentences would be likely. Yet that‚Äôs essentially what racing authorities are doing in respect to formguides and punters. The underlying principle is the same.
State racing authorities have chosen to take over the responsibilities of almost all formguide producers so it is incumbent on them to do it right. If they can‚Äôt do that then they should let others take over.¬† There are at least two organisations which are capable of that right now (not including Daily Form Service, which is a horse mob at heart).
Better still, get rid of the antiquated system which allows each state to do its own thing, based on whims and irrelevant tradition. A single national form database, of high quality and accessible to all, should be run by an independent body, responsible only to the public.
This is a case where one size does fit all, or should do.
Sandown Greyhounds Race 1 Number 3 Proven Nellie 2:05pm (local time)
Punters may wonder why I am going against Bodyline that clocked 29.70 in winning last week, but I am, and I am tipping Proven Nellie with more confidence than I ever could tip Bodyline. The reason for this is that, while there is no doubt that Bodyline is very fast, he has only begun once in 12 starts. He may be turning over a new leaf, but I would not be willing to put my money on a dog at even money that normally falls out of the boxes. Proven Nellie on the other hand has been extremely unlucky in her four start career. Her first start was a handy third at Shepparton, followed by a fall at the same venue. She then returned to Bendigo where she led from box four but got dragged down, with her last start a second at Sandown behind Four Paw Glory who clocked 29.86s. Proven Nellie began well last week but was beaten for speed. When she went to make her move she checked off the leaders heels and put herself out of play. However, she was only beaten two and a quarter and ran 30.03s in running second. Box three should suit and she has enough early pace to be up there early. Rails runner Sugar Lips has great early speed but only managed 30.66 in her heat last week. If Bodyline begins he will be winning, but I am not too confident that he can.
Gawler Greyhounds Race 8 Number 1 Victa Victoria, 8:04pm (AEST)
Going with a bit of value again in the Gawler Cup tonight. Victa Victoria didn’t show much early pace in her heat victory, but it was a fantastic win where she had to do plenty of work and show plenty of heart. There is a fair amount of early dash in the race, but from box one she may be able to hold the spot on the rails and challenge the leaders going into the back straight. She ran the second fastest time in winning her heat (30.95) with Encosta Kahn going the quickest (30.84) and while he is drawn well in box two, he doesn’t always begin as well as he did in his heat, so I am prepared to risk. Victa Victoria may be worth a sneaky bet at handy odds.
Wentworth Park Greyhounds Race 4 Box 4 Mexico City, 8:30pm
Mexico City is ¬†a highly talented greyhound coming off a last start win at headquarters where he began well from box eight and led from the catching pen. The Where’s Pedro chaser is usually a flawless beginner which should see him up near the front in the run to the first turn. Electro Storm, number three, can be an excellent beginner but he has missed the kick at his last three starts in town- a repeat of that should give Mexico City room to move when he hits the ground. The FFA event is bursting with talent- and chances- but this bloke is in great form, with his last win in a tidy 29.79s while four starts back we began in 5.37 clocking 29.84 overall.
The Meadows Greyhounds Race Five Number Three Leprechaun Macey, 8:40pm
The sensationally bred Leprechaun Macey should represent a bit of value in the staying race at The Meadows tonight. The favourite in the event is likely to be Infinite Wish, number six, which has had one start over the trip for a win in 42.60s. While this is faster than Leprechaun Macey’s personal best of 42.80s, she has to contend with a horror draw while Macey is drawn to bounce towards the front of the field and run a cheeky race. The daughter of Bombastic Shiraz and Betty’s Angel has won seven from 17 overall and has had six starts over the trip for two wins and two minors- enough to recommend her as a bit of value here tonight
Best Of Luck
$$Another Day Another Dollar$$
Two winners and two seconds with one dog falling last night.¬†To be fair they were favourites, but even with the favs we couldn’t pull off a clean sweep on Halloween.
Ipswich Greyhounds Race 5¬†Box 1 Hanson Cosmos,¬†4.17pm
This bitch looks a great bet and the bet of the day at Ipswich.¬†She races well here and has great early toe.¬†Geoff Allen has the litter going great guns and, although she’s been beaten in her last couple, expect her to bounce back here today from the better draw.¬†She’s run a solid 25.35 here and that’s about as quick as she can go, but in a field of this ¬†calibre expect that to be enough for her to get the job done.
Casino Greyhounds Race 7¬†Box 1 Bralyn Casey,¬†2.32pm
Bralyn Casey is the on top pick here today for friend, Doctor George Clegg.¬†Who would of thought a Northfield-bred dog could run 700!¬†Well this girl can and can run all day.¬†She hasn’t won here yet over the trip, but is sure to knock up a win sooner or later.¬†Box 1 is perfect for the daughter of Bit Chill and, as long as she can bounce out and hold her spot, she’ll finish hard in this.¬†She only has to beat one runner, Curlee Corner’s in my opinion and he’s drawn poorly out wide.¬†If Casey can ping and find the top she should be holding off the others in this.¬†Big chance Casey and I doubt she’ll miss a place at worst.
Gawler Greyhounds ¬†Race 1¬†Box 6 Zero Faith¬†1.34pm
I know abslolutely nothing about this dog, except I don’t like any of the other legless things.¬†She’s by Flying machine and boom sire¬†El Grand Se√Īor, and he’s been getting tonnes of winners lately with most showing great early toe.¬†She’s in good hands and if at each-way odds back her, because you can’t possibly back anything else!
Best of luck
$$ Another Day Another Dollar $$
One of my favourite nights of the year is Halloween, so let’s hope it can finally bring around a clean sweep of winners.¬†It’s been far too long and there’s no doubt we are well overdue.¬†There’s some fast dogs engaged around the country and over the last few months I’ve noticed either dogs are getting quicker as a standard or the tracks a being sped up.¬†No longer is a solid 30.40 at Albion or a 29.70 at Sandown going to win races, trainers are required to have their charges running flying times in order to win a race.¬†There’s no doubt the breed is getting ¬†quicker as a whole.
Albion Park Greyhounds Race 4¬†Box 2 Cel’s Fear,¬†7.50pm
We tipped you guys into her¬†Monday¬†night where she got the job done and I’m going to stick with her again here tonight at Headquarters.¬†She did have the advantage of box 1 last start, but it mattered little when she burnt out in a flying 5.66 first sectional.¬†She’s drawn the 2 box here again tonight and with slow beginners all around her, expect her to burn straight to the front again here.¬†She only stopped the clock at 30.47 here last start, and she will need to go quicker here to win, but it was her third attempt and she should be starting to get use to the longer trip now.¬†By import sire Fear Zafonic, Cel’s Fear is knocking up the victories with 8 wins from 18 starts.¬†However she’s yet to win a city race, so tonight’s task will certainly test her.¬†With master trainer Tom Noble in her corner she’s sure to have bounced back ready to go.¬†If she pings and goes I expect her to get down to 30.30 and she’ll need to get down to every bit of that to win.¬†Great chance, but a solid $3.00 chance and no shorter.¬†Box 1 runner Atta Boy Ted will be the biggest danger, after his superb 30.32 win here last Thursday night from box 7.¬†And, from the red tonight, he’s sure to be there as they turn for the judge. Big danger.
Angle Park Greyhounds Race 7¬†Box 2 Dyna Hakon,¬†9.22pm
Perfect race here for Dyna Hakon to win.¬†He’s come up with the gun draw, and should sit in behind the speed early and look to take over mid way through, or rounding the home turn.¬†He’s stopped the clock here in a fast 29.87 and powered home last week to run a brilliant second from box 7.¬†With box 1 runner Uncle’s Miss the likely leader, he should sit in behind and get a dream run.¬†Uncle’s Miss won here last start in a fast 30.14, but she does paddle late and I doubt she can hold off Dyna Hakon tonight.¬†He loves the inside running and has a great record from the inside traps. So. with everything in his favour tonight, I suggest backing him with supreme confidence in a race he should be winning.¬†Great bet, and even money looks irresistible.
Dapto Greyhounds Race 7¬†Box 7 What For, 9.38pm
The ex Victorian What For has no excuse not to beat theses here tonight.¬†He’s the fastest dog, the classiest and the best credentialed runner in the race.¬†With 8 wins and 6 placings from 18 starts the son of Cosmic Chief can run time, but has struggled around two turns since he scorched around Bulli a few stars back.¬†I get the feeling he’s better suited to out wide, although he has won most of his races from inside boxes.¬†In tonight’s race I expect him to jump well and position himself up on the outside of a few here early and simply prove far too strong and speedy for these.¬†Based on his flying times elsewhere, he should easily break 30.00 here and that should see him win with a few lengths in hand here tonight.¬†There’s a few dogs who can run in this but, if he stays out of trouble he wins.
He should start around $2.50 and at that price he looks a great bet.¬†Class runner and should win.
Hobart Greyhounds Race 8¬†Box 1 Club Foot, 9.44pm
A shorty here, but there nothing I like to much here tonight, so I might as well tip the easy winner than and easy loser.¬†Club Foot ran a huge race last start, taking ground off the super talented Hellyeah Bolt in the run to the line at one point.¬†If that run isn’t enough to convince you he’ll win this, I don’t know what will.¬†He’s run a fast 26.01 here but he does prefer the outside, and that does concern me a touch.¬†But he’s got a huge motor and finds a few lengths when he’s on the bunny.¬†From the red here tonight, expect him to land in front and race right away from some ordinary runners.
We will have to wait till race 8 to back him but he will win and he looks a fantastic multiple anchor for all your exotics.¬†Michael Stringer gets plenty of winners, And tonight should be no different.
Sandown Greyhounds Race 5¬†Box 4 Farmor Las Vegas,¬†8.28pm
The only thing that beat this fellow last week was box 8.¬†He moves 4 places in tonight and they shouldn’t beat him here in this.¬†He’s leaps and bounds better than these and should have no trouble leading all the way or coming from behind to beat a sub standard field.¬†He’s very well graded here and although he’s only run a steady 29.64 here previous, he should have no trouble running sub 29.40 and, if he does, he’ll win this by panels of fencing.¬†Box 4 is ideal and he does go straight out of the boxes and can muster to find the top around the first turn.¬†He started about $1.80 last week from the pink, and he should start even money here tonight from a far better draw.¬†Class runner and he looks the winner.¬†Great even money bet, who should win like an even money pop.
Best of Luck
$$ Another Day Another Dollar $$
The TOPGUN was a bit messy, wasn‚Äôt it?
OK, my preview said Dyna Nalin could not win, but it also said ‚Äúbarring accidents‚ÄĚ and they were there in spades.
Three things upset the applecart. First, Ernie Bung Arrow botched the jump for the only time in its short history, thereby changing the nature of the run to the turn, and also giving Dyna Nalin extra room.¬† Mind you, by his own standards Ernie also went moderately in its week-earlier trial at The Meadows, running 5.15 early, so perhaps we need to consider the nature of those Victorian boxes, which are more of the ‚Äústand-up‚ÄĚ type by comparison with other states. This is definitely an area where standardisation would be a good idea.
Then Spud Regis also started somewhat worse than it usually does, unlike its Australian Cup win, but was still with them at the judge the first time when the big squeeze occurred. That‚Äôs the luck of the game (or perhaps the fact that it had not raced for a month).
Third, half the field came together, line abreast, at the first turn. I had suggested that Tomac Bale (3) might lean on Punch One Out (2) but in fact the latter came out like a drunken sailor and 3, 4, 5 and 6 leant on each other just as they approached the judge, slowing them all down and ruining their chances. On top of that, Ernie was burrowing in to trying to make up for its tardy start.
As they slowed a fraction, the winner grabbed its opportunity and rounded the turn in second spot with a good look at the leader, Peter Rocket, which is not a noted beginner but a very handy race dog from the inside.
Dyna Nalin ended up running a pretty average 29.89 (average for this class), which is in its normal range. This is a very good dog in a field and it was untouched this time. More credit to it. However, there were several faster dogs in the field which failed to get a crack at them.
Perhaps luck dominated. But a problem is that The Meadows, like many other major tracks, has a way of creating its own hassles as they run to and around that first turn. The leader disappears around that corner while others are still trying to avoid clashes. In this case, the favourite was not there anyway. (It was slow out but, as I mentioned in the preview, it‚Äôs not normally brilliant at box rise but it then puts its foot on the accelerator to be close at the first turn. But not this time)..
The lesson is that Albion Park, Wentworth Park, Sandown Park, Launceston and Cannington, as well as The Meadows, all have design features which generate bias or early interference, or both. Indeed, the moderate beginning Dyna Nalin has itself won races at Cannington by wandering out and then cutting to the rail and whizzing around the corner while the field drifts off.
Some other tracks ‚Äď like Dapto, Richmond and Ipswich ‚Äď are even worse, although the latter two are easily fixable.
What precisely does that mean? I have no idea, other than that cutaway sections at the first turn, or their equivalent at The Meadows, are not the answer. Fiddling here and there is not going to help much either. From memory, The Meadows has already done that three times, with no obvious improvement. It‚Äôs one of the two or three most heavily biased tracks in the country. Both Wentworth Park and Cannington were adjusted a decade ago, but are still messy (which is why Paul Wheeler for years refused to let his dogs race at Wenty). It requires a lengthy, detailed, scientific study of the art to establish desirable principles. Nothing less will do – especially for Cannington, which is facing a multi-million dollar outlay for a new track.
If we paid the same attention to track details as we do to drug detection most of these hassles would disappear.
Meantime, the only circle track where dogs seem to get around the corner consistently and in one piece is the lowly Northam in WA. Whether the lower class of dogs helps that happen, I am not sure, but it works. Why is this so? And what should be done to keep dogs reasonably separate, as occurs at Northam, Mandurah and Hobart?
But I would rather not see any more races like the 2013 TOPGUN.
Sectional Time Comparisons
|Average Last Ten||Actual In Topgun||Difference|
|2. Punch One Out||5.09||5.21||+0.12|
|4. Spud Regis||5.04||5.14||+1.01|
|5. Xylia Allen||5.14||5.14||0|
|6. Glen Gallon||5.14||5.14||0|
|7. Ernie Bung Arrow||5.04||5.18||+0.14|
|8. Dyna Nalin||5.20||5.13||-0.07|
Note 1: You can normally expect the box 1 dog to come out a little quicker than its average.
Note 2: Dyna Nalin recorded 5.13, 5.29 and 5.17 at its previous three starts at The Meadows
Note 3: Times at other tracks are converted to a Meadows equivalent after analysing hundreds of performances by the same dog at both tracks.
And so on to the SHOOTOUT. Two really fast dogs are up against two strong finishers. If Dyna Nalin can win that I will give the game away. It is not the fourth best dog in Australia. And I imagine Xylia Allen might put on another big finish to gain a place. But it is also Banjo Boy‚Äôs best track.
Albion Park Greyhounds Race 9¬†Box 7 Wazz’s Fantasy,¬†5.27pm
I don’t think I’ve ever seen a hobby trainer train so many winners in my entire greyhound years.¬†Travis Elson and his family are riding huge wave of success, leading in at least 4 winners a week and winning 3 races with as many placings at some meetings.¬†I recall Steve Hawkins saying they had 14 winners in 1 week! What a training performance.¬†So, based on that reason alone, I’ll tip Wazz’s Fantasy here in this.¬†It’s an ordinary field and the kennel is on fire, so he should win.¬†But we won’t just rely on that- he’s got a tremendous record here with 18 starts for 2 wins and 10 placings and two starts ago he recorded a fast 22.95 win here from box 8.¬†He should once again jump away on terms with them here and simply burn around the outside and prove to strong in this.¬†In form and he looks the winner.
Angle Park Greyhounds Race 7¬†Box 3 Dale Bale 2.22pm
This talented dog is yet to salute here in S.A, but he gets another great chance to do so here today.¬†It’s his first go over the shorter trip here, but he’s a proven short course chaser and has recorded some fast wins in Victoria.¬†It’s the sort of race where he can find the top without too much effort and, once he does, there’s no chance they will run him down.¬†He’s capable of stopping the clock in fast time and only needs a safe start to blow these away.¬†With slow beginners around him, he should come out running and tail the box 5 runner. Once in a winning position or in the lead, he should be far too good.¬†Great bet.
Bulli Greyhounds Race 5¬†Box 1 Von Ryan,¬†8.28pm
A fast young dog with a big motor, and looks the winner here tonight.¬†Von Ryan, by new kid on the block,¬†Take The Kitty, has run some solid times around a few different tracks.¬†He’s well traveled and makes it track number 5 here in 10 starts tonight.¬†But that shouldn’t worry him and the big one turn track with a long run should suit the little 30kg dog.¬†He looks promising and he should get down around the 26.50 mark here tonight if he bounces straight to the front and finds the bunny from the get-go.¬†But there’s plenty of others in the race that will make it difficult for him to win.¬†Boxes 2,4,5,7 all have plenty of talent so it’s important when backing him to get at least $3.50 about the young dog.¬†It’s a rough race but box 1 is the advantage and I’d stick with him, he looks a great ¬†chance.
Best of Luck
$$ Another Day Another Dollar $$
Ipswich Greyhounds Race 6¬†Box 4 Hannah Marrie,¬†1.41pm
It’s an unusual early start¬†tomorrow¬†for the Ipswich club after swapping times slots with Gawler for their annual cup.¬†My pick at Ipswich is the super talented Hannah Marrie.¬†She won’t be big odds but she should start around $2.20 and she looks a fantastic winning chance and a great multiples anchor.¬†She’s got a super record here with 9 starts for 5 wins and 3 placings, and a best time of 30.65.¬†While there’s a couple in this race that can go quick, they’re out of form and will need to produce a dramatic form change to beat her.¬†She’s quick early and has only been beaten by small margins in her last couple at Albion, so she should return to the winners circle here today.¬†She looks the winner and the punters could take some nice multiples with boxes 1,2,3,8 behind.
Gawler Greyhounds Race 6¬†Box 1 Kenso Karoo,¬†8.55pm
Tough heat of the Gawler Cup but there’s no doubt in my mind he’s the fastest dog in the race, after a flying 29.79 win at Albion Park a long time ago.¬†He’s only had the two starts here in S.A, for a 2nd and a first, but he should be getting used to the finish on lure and peaking here for this.¬†He’s got Box 1 and, with slow beginners on his outside, that will ensure he gets a clear uninterrupted run throughout.¬†If he manages to hold the bunny rounding the first turn, I expect him to put in a big effort and go close to scoring in this.¬†He’s got the motor and can run the time, big danger.¬†Right Time is the other chance after his solid fast and tough win last start at Angle Park.¬†He’s in form and will certainly make his presence felt here In this.
Lismore Greyhounds Race 7¬†Box 1 Bogan Girl,¬†8.45pm
Another tough race here with many chances.¬†I’m going with the well boxed and in-form runner Bogan Girl.¬†She’s only missed a place once here in 6 starts, with 2 wins and 3 placings.¬†Her time though is only moderate, but consistent with most of of the field.¬†She should punch up here and lead from the get-go out of the box. It’s a tough race and there’s many different ways we can analysis this race.¬†I’ve done it a few times and I keep coming up with a different runner each time, so I’ll stick with the box draw and in form runner.¬†There’s not a great deal of speed around her so she shouldn’t get too much pressure and should be able to chase with clear room.¬†Looking over the field she should start at odds of about $6.00 and at that price she looks a great each-way chance here tonight.
Warragul Greyhounds Race 6¬†Box 8 Yakar Bale,¬†8.28pm
The perfectly boxed runner Yakar Bale should be winning this. He’s got early toe and enjoys chasing around the outside of runners.¬†From 6 starts in box 8 he’s won 4 with 2 seconds- a phenomenal record.¬†He’s yet to break the tough 26.00 barrier here but I’d say he will need to go close to that to win here tonight.¬†He’s only a fair beginner but should wind up around the outside of these and finish too strong. There’s a talented field engaged and many chances I’m a wide open event.¬†So, don’t take silly odds, about $3.00 is the right price about him.
Best of Luck
$$ Another Day Another Dollar $$
Albion Park Greyhounds Race 5¬†Box 1 Cel’s Fear,¬†8.02pm
I really like the chances here of this girl.¬†Two starts back her 4th beaten 4 lengths from box 3 was quite good after finding trouble and getting held up in traffic.¬†She came out well and ran a good 5.78 first section, and should lead here today from box 1.¬†While there’s ¬†a few in this that can win, I don’t think they will be beating the talented Cel’s Fear.¬†She’s won 7 from 17 and the 520 looks no problem for her.If she pings and goes she should be capable of running around the 30.30 mark, and that should see her win by about 2-3 lengths.¬†Most Fear Zafonic progeny are quite strong and have no issue with the longer racing so I expect her to be winning here tonight.¬†Don’t take silly odds though, about¬†$3.20 is the right price.
Angle Park Greyhounds Race 6¬†Box 1 Sally Brown,¬†8.14pm
This is another who looks the outright winner from box 1 tonight.¬†She did something unusual for her last week when winning, she pinged and led.¬†It’s been a long time since she’s pinged and led a field.
I was quite shocked to see her jump straight to the front and declared her unbeatable after she did.
So, with her racing in such fine fashion, I’m just expecting her to win and win well here against these tonight.¬†Box 2 runner Screen Kiss will probably lead them up early on, but expect Sally to be burning up on her inside as they enter the back straight.¬†As long as Sally gets a clear run expect her to be winning and winning well.
Launceston Greyhounds Race 6¬†Box 1 Pinto Pronto¬†9.18pm
I’m going to give another chance here to Pinto Pronto who’s racing in super fine fashion at the moment.¬†Although he did struggle to run out the 600 in strong fashion last week, he should take great benefit from last week’s run.¬†Having box 1 here will be of great advantage to him, and he should lead here and race along on the bunny from the get go.¬†He’s run a scorching 29.78 here over the 500 at Launceston, and he should be able to run around that here for the first 500 again. To win this he just needs to run out the extra 80 meters in solid fashion.¬†Box 1 huge advantage and he looks the winner at solid odds.
Shepparton Greyhounds Race 10¬†Box 4 Carol Beer,¬†10.06pm
After running a great 5th here last start at Shepparton, she went to The Meadows and blew them away running a fair 30.46.¬†She looked great here last start and can come out in the leading division here tonight.¬†If she settles close and up with them early she should run right over the top of a few ordinary dogs here.The former northern rivers dog Float Ya ¬†Boat looks the main danger and expect him to threaten from the get go.
Best of Luck
$$ Another Day Another Dollar $$
People get really annoyed when their odds-on favourite gets rolled but it happens more often than you think.
We had a look at the main meetings at four big tracks over the last 8 weeks ‚Äď involving 502 races ‚Äď and found that half of all these hotpots crashed out. Of the 119 odds-on starters, 49% won but 51% lost. Since they paid an average of under $1.70 this means that a dollar on each would result in a loss of at least 20% of your stake money.
Here is how they stacked up (Albion Park figures covered its two main weekly meetings).
|Wentworth Park||150 races||39 odds-on favourites||20 winners||49% lost|
|The Meadows||96 races||23 odds-on favourites||8 winners||65% lost|
|Sandown Park||96 races||14 odds-on favourites||7 winners||50% lost|
|Albion Park||160 races||43 odds-on favourites||23 winners||47% lost|
Two reasons for the failures seem to dominate. First, many gamblers have a sheep-like attitude and follow the favourite on down in price, even when it is not worth it. That‚Äôs the ‚Äúbetter than bank interest‚ÄĚ syndrome. In some cases they may be betting when the price is better but the late money often tends to depress the price and so they get a surprise when the dividend emerges.
Changes like that seldom occur at the gallops but it is routine in the small greyhound pools.
The other factor is that the price may be terrible for the dog in question. Punters are assessing the dog on what it might do, or what it has done in the past, without properly considering its current form or its position in the race.
One example is Renegade Chief, sent out at $1.70 at The Meadows last week from box 3.¬† It has had some good wins in the past but it had failed to win in its most recent six starts and was looking as though it lacked a bit of zip. In the event, it came out moderately and finished moderately, running fourth in average time. That form justified nearer $5.00 than odds-on yet the big move was still on.
Another was the in-form Farmor Las Vegas at $1.80 at Sandown last week. From box 8 it had to jump well, which it did, but three other dogs jumped quicker to make life difficult as they rounded the corner. That‚Äôs always a potential danger for outside dogs. The early pace was fairly predictable so those odds did not represent good value, never mind whether it was the best dog in the race or not.
Then an either-or situation prevailed at Albion Park on October 17 when that very smart racer Honey Bouquet drew the 8 box in a six-dog field. Seeing it listed at $4.50 in NSW, I thought that was great value and took an interest. In the event it just failed to cross the field and finished 3rd. But I would have been very disappointed as it finished up at $1.90 in NSW ($2.80 in Queensland). Smallish pools always pose that danger but the difference is stark. The following week, from the same box in an almost identical field, it managed to cross and lead even though its first sectional was almost identical to the previous week. But punters were wary this time and it paid $4.70 in NSW and $3.30 in Queensland. In neither of those races was an odds-on price justified. From the inside, maybe, but not from the 8, where luck plays a bigger part.
Obviously, both circumstances and ignorance of all the facts play a part in these ups and downs. Too many punters these days trust their emotions rather than the hard data (which they probably do not look at).
In that vein, consider this comment in a report on high school students by Fairfax Media (23 Oct), ‚Äúenrolments in standard two-unit mathematics have declined steeply over the past decade and a significant proportion of students do not study maths at all‚ÄĚ. Could that be where these punters are coming from?
Whatever the influences, poor value on the Win tote would no doubt be a factor in the rise in popularity of exotic bets in recent times.
Wait, There‚Äôs More
The education of punters is not helped by the way tipsheets and formguides rate the runners‚Äô chances.
It has now become a universal habit for them to list the chances of each runner by some mysterious device which churns out a set of numbers like 100, 98, 96, 94 etc. Apparently, this is meant to tell us who the best and worst are. But what do the numbers mean? How can we apply them in practice?¬† Of course, we can‚Äôt. They are meaningless.
There was an extraordinary example in the TOPGUN where the GRV formguide rated all dogs in the range 100 down to 95. Two were at 100 ‚Äď Ernie Bung Arrow and Dyna Nailin ‚Äď and three were at 99 ‚Äď Peter Rocket, Punch One Out and Tomac Bale. Those numbers bear no relationship whatever to the real pricing so how can that help the punter?
Pricing is the other conundrum. That same formguide, as well as the TAB and online bookies, display a list of odds for each dog. In every case those odds amounted to a book of around 130%, which is way outside what the totes (114%) or genuine bookies in a competitive market would charge. It‚Äôs a complete rip-off for unsuspecting punters. They are trading uncertainty for a price that will never allow them to make a profit. Winners will never really be winners.
You might say the commercial operators are entitled to do what they like ‚Äď buyer beware. So be it. But there is no excuse for state racing authorities to do likewise. Their responsibility is to serve and protect the public, not to lead them down the garden path.
The end effect is to degrade the concept of value pricing and instead encourage gamblers into quickie bets, much as would happen with a poker machine.
In either of these cases, those official formguides should tell the reader what the figures mean, how they were derived, and what the built-in profit was. Or, better still, get rid of the 100, 99, 98 nonsense.
Ipswich Greyhounds Race 5 Number 3 Black Book Bob 4:17pm (local time)
One of the most consistent greyhounds going around Queensland at present- Black Book Bob has had 55 starts for 21 wins and 17 minors. He won last start at the track in a quick 25.03 after finding trouble at his last few starts here and if he can run like that again today, they will have to be flying to catch him. Won’t be a big price, but he looks the winner from a suitable draw.
Geelong Greyhounds Race 5 Number 6 Zipping Will, 8:28pm (local time)
Zipping Will is a promising youngster in the Wayne Vassallo kennel. While he does not have much early toe, this race is not saturated with speed and that should give him a chance. Baby Pie is boxed terrifically on the rails and is quick early so she will probably prove the toughest to beat along with Dub Me In from the Peter Hunt camp in box three. Zipping Will, although drawn in box six, can feature, with a smart 25.34 Bendigo win to his name of late. If he can step cleanly, he does have enough talent to run with this lot.
Wentworth Park Greyhounds Race 6 Number 7 Yiche, 8:58pm (local time)
Not an easy race with a very even field and plenty that can clock handy times around headquarters. I am going to stick with Yiche in this one- he is drawn well out wide in box seven as he likes to use a bit of the track and he is a quick beginner which always helps. A few of these have shown early toe, but if this bloke begins as well as he has at the track then he will be right up there. He has slow beginners either side of him which should give him plenty of room to move early and if he can land on the ¬†bunny he may prove hard to catch. He has recorded a handy 30.13 at the track and that should go pretty close in this event.
Albion Park Greyhounds Race 8¬†Box 4 Yogi Blue, 9.11pm
He got the job done for us on Tuesday and he will back up here again tonight, where he will hopefully do the same.¬†Only 4 starts back he run a super 29.96 when running second behind the freakishly talented Punch One Out. The run was simply brilliant, burning out of the boxes and running a fast 5.63 first section, a flying middle section, and a very strong run home.¬†He got the job done at both ends and expect him to repeat the same here again tonight.¬†The only concern I have is the fact he has a very ordinary record here at Albion.¬†I put the super performance down to the fact he caught the lure at Angle Park two starts prior and he may of been thinking the same was going to happen at Albion, as his runs haven’t been anywhere as good since.¬†Apart from all that he looks the winner amongst a very, very tough field of quality chasers.¬†If he jumps then his best 5.63 first section will see him 2 lengths in front as they pass the winning post for the first time.¬†Once he finds the top it will be super tough to run him down if he’s out in the bunny and burning.¬†However if he doesn’t jump then it’s a super open race and near impossible to find the winner.¬†He’ll be super odds and stick with him.
Angle Park Greyhounds Race 4¬†Box 1 Full Beer Fridge, 8.15pm
This fellow has been very disappointing of late, despite performing soundly.¬†He’s come up with the cherry here and that should be the telling factor in him winning.¬†He’s got the early speed and can lead and lead all the way.¬†Even though he’s only stopped the clock at a moderate 30.27, I have no doubt he can go far quicker if he has a full blooded go.¬†I’m not so sure he’s fair dinkum yet, and this is his best chance to better his PB.¬†There’s slow beginners boxed outside him and this should make his task of finding the front so much easier.¬†The dangers, well there isn’t 1 in particular, there all very even apart from this fellow, and I think he’s a great bet here tonight of he turns up ready to race.
Dapto Greyhounds Race 5¬†Box 4 Our Money Box, 8.55pm
Big chance given here to this girl,¬†Our Money Box, who should find the front early and tear away from them here in the early stages.¬†It’s a tough, tight circuit and the two strong chases are Where’s Keroma and Proven Polka, but both dogs are slow beginners and will need to navigate their way through the field to get out and chase after Our Money Box.¬†This is her first go at the 600 here at Dapto, but she’s had a few attempts before over the trip.¬†She went well at the Gardens, and she should repeat that performance here tonight.¬†If she’s pings and takes off, and the two favs find a little trouble, she can certainly pinch this at odds.¬†She’s about the only thing I can find at Dapto tonight that I like and will be worth the punt.
Hobart Greyhounds Race 8¬†Box 5 Cointreau Cap, 9.44pm
With a huge motor this fellow won’t take long to return to the winners circle and tonight looks great chance after his solid performance last week.¬†He has returned from a stint in Victoria, where he went fairly but failed more times than not.¬†Back here in easy grade, he should prove far too speedy and strong for a solid line up of Tassie’s dogs.¬†He’s run a fast 25.91 here and he should be able to go a length or so quicker if he pings and runs.¬†He’s the quickest dog in the race and he should be about $3.00 so at that price he looks a worthy bet here tonight.¬†The dangers Battek Boss and Nicholas Jack, ¬†who are both boxed well and will certainly test him.
Sandown Greyhounds Race 4¬†Box 7 Leprechaun Macey, 8.08pm
We tipped her last Saturday night at The Meadows and she was run down right on the line.¬†I expect her to go one better here tonight.¬†She’s quick early and she should find the top from the get go.¬†Once in front, she does wind right up and carve out some good sectionals. She had no trouble with the trip and is getting stronger with each run.¬†She’s only had the 16 starts so she’s still got improvement left in her.¬†There’s nothing super strong ¬†engaged in this, so I don’t see how they can run her down.¬†She should start close to favourite but in supremely confident she’ll get the Job done here tonight.¬†Tonight’s best bet.
Best of Luck
$$ Another Day Another Dollar $$
Black Magic Opal‚Äôs 25.11 win in the Geelong Cup was not just in track record time. It was also an Australian, and probably world, speed record of 18.32 m/sec for mechanical hare racing on a loam track around at least one turn. That‚Äôs equivalent to a 66 km/hr average over the 460m trip.
In fact, it is also faster than anything ever recorded on grass tracks, which are normally quicker due to the greater purchase dogs obtain on the that surface.
Checks of race times in the UK and America show that nothing really gets close to Black Magic Opal‚Äôs speed, particularly over distances beyond 400m. Few overseas tracks have records much better than the 17.0 to 17.5 m/sec bracket. However, in America‚Äôs case, its tracks reputedly have very soft surfaces which would not help speed.
Sometimes public information can be selective. For example, the website answers.com lists Brett Lee‚Äôs great 28.88 run at Angle Park as the fastest ever. That was a wonderful effort, never since threatened, yet it was well short of Black Magic Opal‚Äôs run, reflecting a speed of only 17.84 m/sec.
That does give the lie to statistics, though, as track layouts, surfaces and conditions can affect times. So, too, the characteristics of the dogs involved, particularly their galloping habits and railing abilities. Brett Lee‚Äôs time was around two turns, not one, and Angle Park is a fairly tight track.
Fairly naturally, the need to negotiate two turns makes a significant difference to the average speed. So consider how fast Black Magic Opal has run over different distances since February 2013 and some comparisons with Brett Lee.
|One Turn Tracks||Black Magic Opal||Brett Lee|
|Geelong 460m||18.32 m/sec||18.01 m/sec (457m)|
|Maitland 450m||18.06 m/sec||N/A|
|Shepparton 450m||18.05 m/sec||18.17 m/sec|
|Bendigo 425m||18.05 m/sec||Trialled only|
|Ballarat 450m||17.98 m/sec||18.04 m/sec (Old track)|
|Sale 440m||17.82 m/sec||Trialled only|
|Two Turn Tracks||Black Magic Opal||Brett Lee|
|Wentworth Park 520m||17.56 m/sec||*|
|Sandown Park 515m||17.48 m/sec||*|
*The nature of these tracks has changed since a decade ago so comparisons are not valid.
During that recent period Black Magic Opal has competed around one turn on 13 occasions and won them all, which is an amazing record in itself. In the same period it has won four and lost four around two turns, the losses all occurring from outside boxes.
Certainly, the evidence over longer trips would suggest Brett Lee is well ahead overall yet speed is still speed, isn‚Äôt it?
Having said all that, it is instructive to look at record speeds achieved all over Australia. We have data for 336 different trips, some lightly used long ones, of course. The top 40 are headed by four straight tracks, followed by Geelong 460m. The next 35 trips all show record speeds of 18.00 m/sec or better and all but one are one-turn trips. The exception is Potts Park 530m (29.45 = 18.00 m/sec) which perhaps throws doubt on the timer or the precise distance. Still, it is a grass track.
The next 128 trips fall into the range 17.50-17.99 m/sec. Therefore, we can say (barring the odd correction) that effectively 60% of Australian track records are equal to or faster than almost anything in other countries.
Interim conclusions would be that …
- 1.¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†Australian dogs are faster, or
- 2.¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†Training and other support systems are better, or
- 3.¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†Australian tracks are more conducive to fast times, or
- 4.¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†Some combination of the above three.
You could also say that dogs in the current era are significantly faster than those of two or three decades ago.
How times change. As a colleague has mentioned, in 1967 that great sprinter, The Shoe, busted the record at the wonderful old Harold Park track, running 26.0 for the 457m (500 yards) trip, which was then claimed as a world record. That is a speed of only 17.57 m/sec ‚Äď and on grass. What would Black Magic Opal have done there? Or any of our top gallopers today?
Even further back, I have no doubt the world 400m record would have been busted many times by a black flash from the Hunter ‚Äď Travelling Lad ‚Äď which routinely led top grade fields at Harold Park by six lengths up the back straight. You had to watch closely to spot it as the lighting was murky there. But, alas, he would stop dead with 50m to go and never made any record books.
For interest, here are the top speeds attained at our major circle tracks, all in the 515m-530m range.
|Angle Park||17.83 m/sec||Brett Lee|
|The Meadows||17.83 m/sec||Heston Bale|
|Sandown Park||17.78 m/sec||Bekim Bale|
|Launceston||17.70 m/sec||Xylia Allen|
|Albion Park||17.59 m/sec||Made To Size|
(It is no surprise that Albion Park is at the bottom of this list, given its dubious cambers on both the first and home turns. Angle Park‚Äôs top position is entirely due to Brett Lee‚Äôs run. Otherwise it would score around 17.60, reflecting its relatively shorter straights).
Several other animal breeds may be quicker than greyhounds but only over very short distances. The cheetah has been variously timed at 25 m/sec or more for very short bursts but its run is well and truly finished after 200m or so. African antelopes and gazelles are similarly fast early but no information is available on their performances over longer trips.
Humans are well down the scale with Usain Bolt‚Äôs 100m world record only just over half a fast as the greyhound at 9.58 m/sec.
Of course, if well publicised, the capabilities of the greyhound would be interesting to many. Here is one example; ‚ÄúWhile he is going at full tilt the dog‚Äôs heart rate can rise to 300-360 beats/minute, (which) means that the greyhound heart can contract and refill with blood five times per second during a race allowing oxygen to be transported at a phenomenal rate to supply the needs of the muscles. At maximum acceleration a greyhound can reach a speed of 72 kph within its first 6 strides from a standing start. No other animal (except the cheetah) has that degree of acceleration.‚ÄĚ Stanley Coren PhD, FRSC in Canine Corner, 2009.
Also of interest are these comments on the breed‚Äôs physiology on The Green Collar Program (2013), ‚ÄúGreyhounds have a larger heart and higher blood pressure than other breeds of dog. Their blood is extra rich in oxygen-carrying red blood cells and they have about 4% more blood than other dogs. The special qualities of their blood makes greyhounds highly valued as canine blood donors. Their body weight is made up of 16% fat which is less than half the amount of other dog breeds of similar size. The high percentage of fast-twitch muscle fibres in their bodies aids speed, not endurance. Greyhounds run and hunt using their sight (60%), sense of small (20%) and hearing (20%). Other dogs use their senses differently depending on what they were bred to do‚ÄĚ.
- Breeding: Magic Sprite-Awesome Opal
- Whelped: 17 May 2011
- Race Record: 30 starts, 23 wins, 4 seconds at 18 October 2013
- Owner: Black Opal
- Trainer: Jason Thompson
BLACK MAGIC OPAL
Black Magic Opal’s World Record Run
Albion Park Greyhounds Race 8¬†Box 7 Eleazar,¬†5.10pm
Who would of thought that Waynie Boy, who defeated Eleazar last week, was going to run a scorching 34.86 over the 600? ¬†No one! He absolutely flew and it’s no wonder Eleazar couldn’t get near him.¬†He’s not engaged in this today so she only needs a safe start and clear passage to totally kill these here in this.¬†Big things were expected early on for this girl and although she’s delivered she is still a little green.¬†I know she will start the favourite but she’s a deserving one and should win this race here today with ease.¬†Great bet and no excuses if she gets beat.
Angle Park Greyhounds Race 7¬†Box 2 Suntory Gold ,¬†2.22pm
A heat of the breeders prelude and I’m going with the interstate runner in Suntory Gold.¬†She’s clearly the class runner after solid wins at Horsham and Sandown, and she’s certainly got a big motor.¬†She’s got good early toe and can fire out of a box when she needs to.¬†From box two she should be the first main contender to find the top and, once she does that, it will make her very hard to reel in.¬†Farmeroo is the main danger and he’s going great guns at present too.¬†He’s yet to set the world on fire but he’s been getting the job done week in week out.¬†His record is fantastic here and he will take full advantage of the outside box.¬†Expect him to fire up early and be the hardest for our selection to beat.
Bulli Greyhounds Race 1¬†Box 5 Premier Lee,¬†7.08pm
This fellow will represent the value here in this race at Bulli.¬†He’s a fast dog who relishes racing around the one turn track here in NSW.¬†He’s gone well here over the short trip and performed well over the longer- so the distance will not faze him. He can, at times, come out running, and if he does that here tonight watch out.¬†The favourite will be the talented Spring Eddie who can really fly when things go his way. But, although his record here ¬†is ordinary, ¬†Premier Lee will be very hard to beat with clear running.¬†Premier Lee for me, for the value.¬†Or a great exotics race.
Best of luck.
$$ Another Day Another Dollar $$
It is a massive night ahead for the Northern Rivers with Lismore hosting the Group 2 Lismore Cup. Six banana benders are lining up in the feature and they appear to have the race at their mercy with only two¬†NSW dogs standing in their way. ¬†One of which, Battistuzzi, was the quickest qualify when running a scorching 29.97.¬†The action kicks of at¬†6.42pm¬†NSW time.
Ipswich Greyhounds Race 8¬†Box 5 Yogi Blue,¬†5.12pm
Yogi Blue is an interesting animal. I’ve spoken to his own, George Zammit, before and he’s been upbeat about the dog.¬†Early on in his career he was very weak and struggled with the 500, but in the past few months he’s found added strength in the run to the line.¬†A while back he recorded a flying 30.28 win and then headed across to the Adelaide Derby where he had superstar¬†Ernie Bung Arrow clearly beat but decided to turn his head.¬†Since then he’s come back here and been very up and down.¬†But, he trialled in front of the stewards at Ipswich, and went a scorching 30.25. If he repeats that here today, he’ll be in one race and the rest will be in another.¬†The only danger is the equally talented¬†Celtic Diva, who has also recorded and flying 30.33 here.¬†These two look clear cut, but Yogi looks the clear winner for mine.¬†Great bet.
Lismore Greyhounds Race 8¬†Box 6 Shabeky,¬†9.05pm
Lismore Cup final and what ¬†a cracking race it will be.¬†I’m going with Shabeky, who posses a huge motor when on song and is capable of breaking 30.00 here.¬†Her run last week in the heat was brilliant and it really shows her tremendous talent.¬†But it will all boil down to who gets the fly and who comes out running and receives the breaks.¬†Box 6 makes it tough, but she does have early speed to offset the horror box draw.¬†She should clear most of the runners surrounding her and look to race up outside box 1 runner, Miners Moss.¬†She’s far quicker then he is and if she draws level with him early on, she’ll take care of him.¬†If she jumps and finds the top she’ll win. However, there’s realistically 6 other dogs who can win this and its really hard to split them. Punters should be able to achieve odds of $5.00 about Shabeky and, if not, I suggest staying out and watching a great race.
Horsham Greyhounds Race 5¬†Box 1 Ozzy Bale,¬†8.09pm
I was disappointed by not backing Ozzy Bale last start at Sandown.¬†I knew he was nearing a win, but I couldn’t make a case for him from box 7. He won and won well on that occasion, so I’ll stick with him here from the cherry.¬†He’s a fast dog and looks to be getting better with racing.¬†He should lob handy in this, and will look to rail and rave away in this.¬†He’s capable of running fast times and he should get down to about 27.30 here tonight.¬†The only danger is the young up and comer Wise Chief, who flew around Sandown, and stopped the clock at a fast 29.55, but he’s young and less experienced then Ozzy Bale, and will have to contend with box 3.¬†Stick with Ozzy Bale- he should get the cash.
Best Of Luck
$$ Another Day Another Dollar $$
Albion Park Greyhounds Race 3¬†Box 6 Rowdy Yates, 7.26pm
Albion Park was great to us last Thursday, with Ah Gee Lass saluting on the line at $10.00.¬†So, let’s hope this fellow can get the job done here as well tonight.¬†He won’t be starting at those odds though and is more likely to jump at around $2.40 but he clearly looks the the one they have to beat in a very ordinary race. He’s got great early toe and should be out and in front early on here, however he’s only managed to win the one race out of 13 and that’s a worry.¬†But, he’s well overdue and has a huge amount on time on this field.¬†He’s in form and went well at Ipswich last start, before being run down by a strong runner.¬†With panels on this field, punters can back him with supreme confidence.
Angle Park Greyhounds Race 9¬†Box 8, Betsy Allen,9.18pm
The usual staying race here, but we won’t be seeing the old champ who generally wins each week go around.¬†Kalden Mayhem has been retired and his dominate reign over the S.A staying ranks is over.¬†So, that leaves the title vacant for a new stayer to take over.¬†Betsy Allen isn’t that dog but she is a very talented animal and has won here over the trip in good time.¬†She always races well and generally leads in her races. On top of that, box 8 is perfect for her and she should bounce straight out and take the lead.¬†She’s been racing very consistently lately over the 600, and the step back up will suit.¬†Expect her to lead all the way.¬†Go Caviar, the main danger, won here last week, but she wasn’t very impressive. She was slow to begin and took far to long to reel on some very plain dogs.¬†In the end she won as she liked, but it was far from convincing and she’ll need to improve a lot here to turn the tables on Betsy Allen.¬†But she’s capable and is the main danger.
Launceston Greyhounds Race 4¬†Box 1 Happy Tiger,¬†8.42pm
The Tas middle distance championship, and Happy Tiger looks to have a mortgage on the race.¬†There will be plenty of money for the talented Jeff The Tipster but I doubt he can beat the perfectly boxed and in form Happy Tiger.¬†He’s unbeaten from box 1 and loves the inside box.¬†He returned last week here with a solid win against some ordinary opposition and he was impressive in maintaining the recent form he showed when winning at Sandown.¬†He’s only had the one go here and he failed, but don’t expect him to fail here tonight.¬†He’s boxed perfectly on the rail and he should land 3rd or 4th early and simply over power them.¬†The only concern is that Jeff The Tipster pings and gets the fly, If he does then it will make it super tough for Happy Tiger.
Shepparton Greyhounds Race 7¬†Box 5 Zambora Gun¬†9.10pm
I’m confident this fellow can win, but I’m more confident you can lay the favourite Matt’s Enity.¬†There’s no doubt he’s a flying machine but I doubt he can hold off dogs as fast over the longer trip of 450.¬†He’s quite weak and does paddle over the final 30m over the 400 so the 450 is going to really test him.¬†All Zambora Gun needs to do is stay in touch with him early and he’ll over power him with ease in the run to the line.¬†Majestic Lee is also capable of doing the same thing with a clear run and his best jump.¬†But the Gun’s in form and he won well at Sandown recently.¬†A few back he scorched around the track at Bulli and showed tremendous speed and strength, so stick with him here tonight and, if he comes out and gets close, he’ll win.
Best of Luck
$$ Another Day Another Dollar $$
Albion Park Greyhounds Race 7 Number 1 New Gleam, 7:09pm (Local Time)
The favourite in this race is likely to be number six, Blue Bird, who boasts the record of nine starts for six wins and two minors- with a best time of 30.20 over the track and distance. However, she is first up since July and isn’t drawn very well. Also, while she does have excellent speed when she hits the ground, she can be tardy out of the boxes which doesn’t help. Bralyn Casey on her inside is the class runner but she doesn’t have a very good strike rate at the track. New Gleam on the other hand returns to the track after a 30.33 win here last start. If Blue Bird jumps she will win but, if she does anything wrong, this bloke is boxed to feature.
Sale Greyhounds Race 5 Number 1 Salegrey’s Late, 7:19pm (Local Time)
While she has only faced the starter on four occasions, Salegrey’s Late has done enough to suggest that she can win from the cherry in this race. ¬†The daughter of El Grand Senor failed at her last start after a poor beginning but prior to that she had recorded two smart wins over the 440 at Sale running 25.14 and 25.25 respectively. She demonstrated good early pace in both of those runs and from the inside draw she should land straight on the bunny or at least be able to push her way up along the rail once she hits the ground. She won’t be big odds but she should be around the $3 mark which is a nice little investment. Don’t take any silly odds because there are a couple of handy dogs in the race- the favourite is likely to be Royale Revenge, another youngster, although he has to overcome an awkward draw in box six.
Wagga Greyhounds Race 6 Number 8 Swanky Amelia, 7:46pm (Local Time)
There is not much value to be had, and although she isn’t boxed terribly well, Swanky Amelia should be able to land the cash here. She has only had three starts for two wins but both of her victories have been in best of day times at Wagga (18.68) and Temora (19.37). While some race well and have gone quicker here, most are out of form. She has everything going for her and should be able to muster enough speed and circle her opponents in this event.
Ipswich Greyhounds Race 8 Number 3 Classy Haze, 5;16pm (Local Time)
Reg Kay’s talented youngster is stepping out for his first attempt over the track and distance. The son of Elite and Classy does not have much early toe, which has brought him undone in his last two appearances at Capalaba over the 366 sprint. Tonight he steps back up to the favourable 520 metres which should suit him very well. ¬†Three starts ago at Albion Park he began poorly from box five and came from last to score an ultra-impressive win after finding all sorts of trouble throughout the run. From box three tonight he should get every chance. Don’t take silly odds because he is still quite a clumsy racer, however if he uses his head at any stage he will be a live chance.
Geelong Greyhounds Race 5 Number 6 Jagger Swagger, 8:27pm (Local Time)
It’s a big night at Geelong with the running of the Gold Cup which is race 8 on the card. For those looking for an easy winner, Jagger Swagger looks the goods in race 5. While he will start at short odds, he is definitely the class runner of the field and can overcome the poor draw if he jumps well. The three time group winner hasn’t won since May but has been up against some tougher opposition than he meets tonight. Three starts back he placed fourth in the Group 1 Dapto Megastar at his first start back from a three month injury break. ¬†He was almost back to his best at his last start, running second to Imry Bale in a heat of the Cup, just one and three quarter lengths off the winner.
Wentworth Park Greyhounds Race 7 Number 1 Mexico City, 9:18pm (Local Time)
Mexico City has come up with an excellent draw in this race and he should lead the race from the get-go. The son of Where’s Pedro is usually a brilliant beginner and should get a clear run with a few average beginners on his outside. If he finds the front in the run out of the first turn he shouldn’t get run down and can bring up his sixth win at headquarters. ¬†Again, he won’t be big odds but he looks the winner
Albion Park Greyhounds Race 7 Box 1 Ah Gee Lass 8.52pm
I remember when Dean Turley first brought this bitch from Sydney, and started her here at Albion on a Monday night. She went like a rocket and won at odds of around $30 from the middle box, running 30.08. The time was quite surprising for me, and I know just as surprising for Dean. Since that win she’s been around the mark but hasn’t lived back up to that run. She was only just beaten in solid time last start over the 600m, and I’ve seen plenty of dogs come back from a 600m run and win over the 520. Even if she hadn’t posted that solid run last start over the 600, I’d still be tipping her from the cherry and against this ordinary field. She’s certainly got a motor and is way way overdue for a win. Not the best of beginners, but as long as she can get out and stay in touch rounding the first turn, she should be far to strong through the middle stages of this race. Big chance and boxed well.
Angle Park Greyhounds Race 6 Box 4 Miss Mozoltov 8.58pm
The ex Jason Thompson runner has made me a small fortune of late. They sent her across to WA where she failed to fire a shot, but since coming to SA Troy Murray has her flying. She flew out and scorched around Gawler last start, and I see no reason why she won’t do the same here tonight and break 30.00. She’s very fast early and can run solid sectionals. The middle box won’t worry her and she should spear the lids and take plenty of catching. It will be a interesting race however if box 1 runner, Long Gully Court comes out running with her. She too is capable of breaking 30 and expect her to be in the firing line throughout.
Dapto Greyhounds Race 3 Box 7 Jan Jet 8.11
I actually backed this bitch at Coonamble when she won there over the carnival recently. I remember watching her a liking the way in which she won, around the tight grass circuit. She’s run solid time at Richmond and Take the Kitty’s offspring do seen to have strength on there side. It’s a poor field with very little competition engaged, and if she can get away safely she may be a little to talented for these here in this. Box 8 runner Stately Striker is also a threat, but he may be the undoing of out selection, if he decides to cut across her and take her out. It’s a tough race and they look the winning pair, but bet carefully.
Hobart Greyhounds Race 10 Box 1 Cosmic Eagle 10.50pm
This fellow generally saves his best for Devonport, but he does wind up really well from inside boxes. He’s tardy early and that often brings him undone in his races but he finishes them off like a train, and often comes from near last. It’s not a hard race and this is the sort of race he can win. The danger is the well performed and travelled Tiger Toes, who can run fast times and is well suited by the one turn track. The question is though how he goes first up, over here and over this distance. Eachway both dogs.
Sandown Greyhounds Race 1 Box 2 Surf’s Up Nova 7.05pm
I was impressed by the run of thus fellow last stat at Tralagon, where he was beaten by his littermate. He was away well but just got tightened and out sped for a little bit, but rallied really hard in the run to the line. He may find himself getting forward here in this, and I’d he manages to he’ll be a different dog in the bunny. It’s always hard to win in town as a youngster, but this fellow looks above average and if he’s at fair odds he’s worth a little flutter. The danger is Ozzy Bale, and he’s sure to win one sooner or later; but box 7 makes it tough and he’ll be spotting the early leaders a start.
Best Of Luck
$$ Another Day Another Dollar $$
There was some great racing last night,¬†with the Queenslanders dominating in the Lismore Cup heats. Five of the banana benders made their way through to the $40,000 final next week.¬†However, the standout heat winner was the Frank Hancock owned and trained
Batistuzzi¬†which ran a blistering 29.97 to easily win his heat. There’s no doubt he’s the one they all have to beat in next week’s final.
Albion Park Greyhounds Race 8¬†Box 4 Rossi Oh,¬†4.59pm
There should be big overs to be had here for Rossi Oh.¬†There’s only 3 chances, boxes 4,6,7¬†and the money will come for the 6 and 7 runners Eleazar and Waynie Boy.¬†But the issue with this pair is that they’re both slow beginners and are going to end up right at the rear early on in this race.¬†Now there’s no reason they can’t end up out last and weave there way through the field and win but I doubt there going to go quicker then 35.50 here from the outside boxes.¬†Rossi Oh on the other hand, even though her form is poor, is capable of running a fast 35.24 and she can show early pace from box rise.¬†If she pings here and finds the front, she may end up with a lead of about 6 or 7 lengths on her main rivals. If she’s out on the bunny and running her 35.24 there’s no way the others will catch her, but she’s out of form and hasn’t done it for a long while now. She should start overs in this and I’m confident if she jumps she’s a massive chance.
Bulli Greyhounds Race 6¬†Box 5 Proven Will,¬†8.46pm
This is a super tough race and punters looking to punt on this race should look for overs, in a race of depth.¬†Proven Will is an experienced and tough campaigner and knows how to come from impossible places to win and he’s probably going to have to do the sane thing here again tonight.¬†$4.00 is about the right price here for a dog who has to overcome box 5 and is a slow beginner.¬†Box 8 runner Highly Respected is the one to beat, but I thought he should of run quicker time last week when winning ¬†from box 1.¬†Box 8 will suit him and he should get the jump on Proven Will, but After watching Highly Respected from outside boxes I think he may struggle here early on.¬†For that reason I’m going to select Proven Will here and I think he’s a big chance.¬†It’s a very tough race and one in which has many chances.
Cranbourne Greyhounds Race 8¬†Box 1 Salegrey’s Power,¬†9.08pm
$2.50 should be on offer here for Salegrey’s Power and after her last start win, I’m supremely confident she can win again tonight.¬†It’s a clear cut 2 dog race, but a small chance is given to box 2.¬†Salegrey’s Power loves the red, pings the lids and can run a fast 30.36.¬†She came from the middle box here last week and raced away to win in a solid 30.40.¬†There’s no reason from box 1 she can’t lower her PB of 30.36, to around the 30.25 mark.¬†But, there’s one problem, the flying machine Take It All who has a huge motor and has run a near record 30.05 here at Cranbourne.¬†However, he’s out of form and doesn’t go all that well from the 8.¬†There is a a little bit of speed here early, and they might serve to hold him out around the first turn.¬†If that’s the case then I see no Reason why Salegrey’s Power can’t skip away and win as second favourite. Punters looking for a trifecta combination could throw in the track specialist Swans Twelve.
Best of Luck
$$ Another Day Another Dollar $$
It was a tidy night of tipping yesterday with three winners and one second.¬†Crump won a heat of the Geelong Cup, coming from behind and bursting through the field to race right away and pay a nice $4.90.¬†It was also a big night for the former Queenslander, Frosty Jay Jay, who easily won a heat of the Geelong cup after being transferred to the kennels of leading trainer Kel Greenough.¬†The other two winners were favourites, but we were extremely unlucky not to get one up at double figure odds- Taumololo raced right away, only to get reeled in right on the line.
Tonight we see the heats of the Lismore Cup and there’s some outstanding types engaged.¬†Northern rivers trainer Frank Hancock has¬†some talented young chasers engaged from his boom Collision x Dulcinea litter,¬†Jason Mckay has runners engaged and¬†Hall of Fame trainer Ron Ball also heads down with his team of talent.¬†The Lismore Cup always attracts a big crowd and it’s always a great spectacle at the track.¬†So, if you can, make sure you get down to see the heats and grab a great meal.
Lismore Greyhounds Race 4¬†Box 5 Rose Of Galo,¬†7.41pm
There’s no doubt Rose of Galo is going to win a big one sooner or later.¬†Her early toe is just electric and she flies the lids and keeps going when not pressured.¬†After carefully going through the field, I can only see one dog putting the pressure on her here, Zipping Summah. I’m hopefully the trainer of Rose of Galo, Alby, has trialled her here.¬†It’s hard to say if Jason had trialled his bitch and track regulars are unable to tell me.¬†Rose of Galo has run a 30.00 flat at Albion and that should equate to a 30.05 run here at Lismore.¬†It’s a little bit of a tougher run than Albion, but with her electric speed she should get a few of these off the bunny early on.¬†She should start second favourite and she’s worth the punt.¬†She’s a reliable beginner and we are sure to know our fate when the lids fly open.
Warragul Greyhounds Race 7¬†Box 3 Mystic Grille,¬†8.50pm
Tough race here over the staying trip.¬†Rex Best will probably start favourite, but I’m not convinced he’ll win out of turn, and I don’t think it’s his turn tonight.¬†Mystic Grille on the other hand looks a handy type, albeit she’s stepping up to the staying ¬†trip early.¬†She’s by the great Bombastic Shiraz and her form is very consistent, making it’s hard to knock her. She won well at the Meadows a few starts back and if she can get forward early, she’ll no doubt be in the firing line.¬†I don’t think 680 will suit, but I do think she may skip away early here and hold on. Rex Best will be thundering home and they look the only two who are capable of winning.
Best Of Luck
$$ Another Day Another Dollar $$
Huge night ahead in Victoria with the running of the Geelong Cup series.¬†With 8 heats and a seriously talented line up, racing will be no doubt at its best there tonight on the G.Bate track.
Albion Park Greyhounds¬†Race 7 Box 1 Taumalolo 8.44pm
I’m not so confident here with this fellow, but he does have a good record from box 1 and I hear that he’s ready to go.¬†It’s not a hard race but the book ends do look the two runners the rest have to beat.¬†Legend Tycoon is flying at the moment and a few starts back from the pink he stopped the clock in a career best 30.12.¬†So,with no speed drawn inside him, he’ll no doubt get the chance to ping and do the same again.¬†But, our selection is Taumalolo and he to can show speed if he decided to jump.¬†He too has limited early speed on his outside, and if he’s able to ping and get on the bunny from the get go he can win this.¬†He’s out of form, but as I said he does improve from the red.¬†If odds of about $7.00 are on offer I suggest jumping on here, as I’m told an improved performance is on the cards tonight.
Angle Park Greyhounds¬†Race 7 Box 6 Kenso Karoo,¬†8.36pm
Big chance given second up to the flying machine Kenso Karoo.¬†He’s run a blinding 29.79 at Albion park and he only needs to bring half of that form to Angle Park here tonight to flog these. The problem is he’s very unreliable and very inconsistent but the added advantage of the finish on lure here in S.A should bring the best out of him.¬†He ran second here last week, but he now knows he can grab the lure in a race, and I think that may spark him up here in this.¬†Box 5 makes it hard, so don’t take short odds, but he’s a huge chance here in this.
Launceston Greyhounds Race 8¬†Box 5 Happy Tiger¬†10.00pm
This fellow isn’t suited by the 500 but he’s classes above these here.¬†His last couple at Sandown were brilliant and he should have no trouble spotting these a few lengths and rounding them up in the straight.¬†It’s a simple as that, he’s too fast, too strong, and too talented to not be a huge threat in this. He’s only had the one go here over the 500 for a 3rd, but he’s in fine form now and only bad luck should beat him.¬†Jodie Valentino should run second if she gets out in clear room.
Geelong Greyhounds Race 4¬†Box 3 Crump¬†8.08pm
If ever there was a track built for the flying but awkward Crump, then this is it.¬†Geelong is a big, open and wide track that should see the big black son of Superman find his feet .We all know the motor he possesses, but all to often he finds trouble. His main dangers here tonight will clearly beat him out, but that’s a good thing because he should be able to bounce out and sit in behind the speedy runners early.¬†It’s a super tough race with speed to burn, and no matter how much analysing you do of the race, you won’t figure it out.¬†So based on Crumps huge motor I’ll tip him here and suggest taking the tote odds.¬†Very tough race and many chances.
Best of Luck
$$ Another Day Another Dollar $$
The biggest surprise in last Thursday‚Äôs Adelaide Cup was not that local star Ernie Bung Arrow won but that he paid more on the local tote than in NSW and Victoria – $4.20 versus $3.20 and $3.70. Patrons of ‚Äúbest tote‚ÄĚ bookies wouldn‚Äôt mind but where were those SA punters?
And the First Four paid twice as much on Tatts as on the other two totes, maybe partly due to a huge jackpot added to the pool. It ended up at an astonishing $52,400.
Considering the status of the event, the local Tatts Win pool amounted to a relatively modest $23,700, compared to $26,400 in NSW and $40,400 in Victoria. The influence of five Victorian dogs in the field would have helped here.
This bias is not accounted for by the differences in populations. Tattsbet is not only the home tote but its multi-state coverage puts at¬† its disposal almost as many people as Tabcorp NSW (6.6 million v 6.9 million) and more than Tabcorp Victoria until you add in the WA component in SuperTab (5.4 million or 7.6 million). It‚Äôs a question of either the willingness of Tatts folk to bet or the less satisfactory nature of what Tatts is offering ‚Äď eg generally smaller pools.
All of which is a terrific advertisement for the need for a national betting pool to smooth things out.
In the race, Ernie was the only dog to more or less match its heat sectional time ‚Äď 4.35 compared to 4.38 – or its overall time (29.70 v 29.60). But the shape of the run was different. Ernie did not come out of the box as fast as it usually does yet still went like lightning to lead at the first turn. It was in no trouble after that. Some dog!
The unfortunate Farmor Las Vegas was in a great spot at the turn but failed to dodge Tomac Bale as it wandered off the rail and so suffered the consequences. Iona Seven just jumped badly this time, all of which gave Ronan Izmir a clear run into second spot. However, it is not the strongest at the end of the 500s and Tomac Bale hauled it in near the line to take second place.
No doubt the next question for Ernie‚Äôs connections will be how to attack the bigger events in neighbouring Victoria. The dog is not two years old yet so may well gain more strength with maturity. At the moment, there is a sneaking suspicion that it may well find the tougher trips at Sandown and The Meadows a bit challenging, especially the Top Gun. Perhaps the Victorian Cups circuit would be the go for a start.
An interesting sideline on Ernie‚Äôs performance is the way wide runners plot their course. Typically, we consider them to be left-side dominant, meaning they naturally push to the outside, rather than right-side dominant when they head for the rail. However, watching dogs like Ernie suggests that it is not so much the body make-up that causes this as it is that they want to be where they are most comfortable sighting the lure. It‚Äôs a kind of mind over matter. Note that Ernie generally rails reasonably on the turns and it is only in the straights that he runs wide. This is even more evident when boxed inside, as he will then spring out immediately to the centre of the track.
Going back, multi-record holder Whisky Assassin had similar habits (but was no good at Angle Park), and so, too, that fine Queenslander, Questions, which won many of its races around Albion Park, a layout which is not kind to wide runners. Both these handled the turns pretty well. By comparison, you will hear little about dogs that stay wide everywhere because they cover so much extra ground that they are just not competitive.
The Bigger Picture
More generally, the fortunes of Tattsbet are not looking great. Its annual report for 2012/13 shows a drop of 4% on all racing turnover, including a loss of just on 10% for Queensland greyhound races. This is hardly a surprise, given the rise and rise of online bookies, the larger pools readily available in NSW and Victoria, and the absence of any impetus from the new guard at Racing Queensland.
Frankly, the Tatts Group will have to rely more and more on its other gambling ventures to support racing. But more critical is what will happen if the decline continues and some aspects of its racing coverage become so inefficient as to cause a reduction in service levels.
Racing authorities in Queensland, SA and Tasmania are hugely dependent on Tatts for their income so their boards should be doing some serious thinking about their future prospects.
Of course, other states will be facing comparable issues sooner or later. Tabcorp. like Tattsbet, is seeing a decline in traditional tote betting as punters migrate to the growingcategory, particularly at the gallops, and to online bookies, which appear to be taking over about a quarter of the total market.
All this is changing the old boundaries and introducing a degree of instability. The trends seem likely to continue, which may pose no immediate problem for the gallops and their big pools. It‚Äôs a different story at the dogs where many pools have become too small for good punting, and are further confused by late betting habits. Even so, the TABs still provide the primary guidance for Fixed Odds pricing and for other betting operators.
But the market remains unbalanced. Online bookies are laughing all the way to the bank due to their lower cost levels and the huge margin between those costs and their payouts as governed by TAB dividends. That‚Äôs not likely to stop any time soon. The time will come ‚Äď or maybe it is already here ‚Äď when TABs have to think about cutting their own costs, including the part allocated to funding raceclubs, simply to remain competitive.
TABs warrant a premium in order to maintain the thousands of shopfronts across the nation, many of which are becoming more automated with touch screen terminals and simplified Mystery bet tickets. But even there they are paying minimal commissions while pub and club agencies rely on patrons buying more beer to make a profit. Efficiency is a mixed bag.
There is a parallel in the way big department stores once got away with big mark-ups on whitegoods and TVs, until the rapid growth of discount stores forced them to change tack. Nowadays, it doesn‚Äôt take much to start up a discount store or an online bookmaking company ‚Äď and that‚Äôs what‚Äôs happening.
Whatever, restructuring is on the march.
Other Signs of the Times
1.¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†I note that Racing Radio in NSW totally ignored the Traralgon TAB meeting last Saturday week ‚Äď no race broadcasts, no prices, no dividends. An overcrowded program? Do we need Radio 1 and Radio 2, just like SKY?
2.¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†A social club with a huge membership and many thousands spent on TAB facilities over the years has shut down its night-time ticket counter from Sunday to Thursday, telling punters to use the touch-screen terminals instead. Other outlets are trending that way, too. This is a joint TAB/racing industry challenge.
3.¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†At NSW Central Coast TAB outlets you could fire a shotgun after 9 pm and not hit anybody. They are either closed or the patrons have gone home. Some exceptions for Saturday nights.
4.¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†Clashing football matches can quickly take the edge off racing turnover.
Albion Park Greyhounds Race 9¬†Box 1 Mr. Garcia,¬†7.32pm
We haven’t had much luck of late, but if Mr. Garcia jumps he won’t need luck here in this.¬†When he first came across from South Australia, Sandra Hunt had him flying and he knocked up over $20,000 in prizemoney in no time.¬†But, since then he’s really struggled to run out the 500.¬†He’s been dropped back to the 395m journey but he still isn’t racing as well as he can.¬†He’s been a tad a unlucky of late, going down by only small margins, but box 1 here should see him gain a soft run and bounce straight on the bunny.¬†Albion Park is on fire of late and that’s led to much quicker times then usual.¬†He’s won here in 22.87 but I have no doubt with the quicker track, if he bounces and lands on the bunny from the get go, he’s capable of running around 22.7 mark.¬†Big chance from a perfect box¬†and he should go very well.
Gawler Greyhounds Race 9¬†Box 8 Keep Me Cool,¬†8.31pm
It was a solid win by this fellow last start and he does look just as well suited by box 8 as he does box 1.¬†He run a quick 23.12 last start and with natural improvement, he should be able to go quicker here in tonight race. He’s only young and he has only done it once in 4 starts, but it was a solid convincing win. Punters looking to find something to use as an anchor in there multiples should look no further then this fellow from the pink box today.¬†Tyson Willow, the old hand, will prove the hardest to beat and she’s been in super form over the longer journey recently.¬†Young dog but looks promising, stick with him.
Sale Greyhounds Race 6¬†Box 5 Tatty Fields¬†7.23pm
Big chance given here to Tatty Fields.¬†She’s right in this race up to here ears and can win this.¬†The young gun in box 6 is the dog to beat, but he was exposed last start when taking on a strong field of dogs.¬†This is a huge class drop here, but I’m prepared to risk him at his likely price of odds on.¬†If Tatty can ping and open up a lead shes capable of staying on the bunny and running solid time.¬†She the only dog with early toe and a few back she run a solid 30.68 at Cranbourne over the tough 520m trip.¬†She’s been consistent of late and, with a good jump and forward position, she is capable of upsetting a few here in this.
Best of Luck
$$ Another Day Another Dollar $$
It’s been a little tough lately without many winners, and a long while now since we pulled off a clean sweep. But things look promising here tonight and with the Sydney Cup the highlight, it’s sure to be an exciting night. The field has been blown wide open, with the scratching of likely favourite Smart Valentino.
Wentworth Park Greyhounds Race 4 Box 1 Trapper Jet 8.30pm
It took a good one to hold this fellow out here last week in Shanghai Rose. Trapper Jet was unable to run her down after camping in behind her from the get go. He’ll have to repeat that run here tonight if he is to go one better here. He’s boxed to perfection and as long as he can get out and keep himself out of trouble, he’ll be powering to the line as they swing for home. With a little luck in running, he may even try to sneek up along the rail around the first turn. He’s run 29.85 here, on par with most of the runners, but box 1 is a huge advantage to him here. The main danger will probably be box 2 runner Courageous Girl, but at her last start here, she was quite ordinary after winning in fine fashion the week prior. She’s a talented up and comer and don’t be surprised to see her put Trapper Jet to the sword here in this.
The Meadows Greyhounds Race 8 Box 1 Victa Bale 9.35pm
If Victa Bale is at the right odds, he’s worth a punt here in a race he can win. He’s only a slow beginner, but he does have a big motor and winds up mid race. His best racing is from inside boxes in these particular races. There’s nothing super quick here in this race, so they shouldn’t get away from him here to much in the early stages. As long as he can stay within striking distance, he’ll finish off powerfully and can find the winners podium in this. The danger is Velocemente who has a brilliant record here at The Meadows, and was super last start at Ballarat. He generally begins slowly and needs to work his way through the field, and that’s what makes it tough to back him here in this tonight. With the right run and a little luck, he’ll no doubt be there at the end.
Cannington Greyhounds Race 2 Box 1 Millions For Us 7.27pm WA time
I’ll stick with the daughter of Trewly Special here in this, after her tough strong second here last week. I watched the replay a few more times than usual and really like the way she roughed it out behind a quick one. She’s run a best time of 30.81 but the way in which she raced last week suggest she can go far quicker then her PB. Box 1 again a huge advantage and of she can produce her best jump she’ll take a power of beating in this line up. I don’t think she can lead, but she’ll be right up there into the first turn, and with an ounce of racing luck, she may even find herself railing through to the lead. As long as she at odds of $4- or more she’s worth a small punt here tonight.
Best of Luck
$$ Another Day Another Dollar $$
Albion Park Greyhounds Race 9 Box 2 Starliner¬†9.32pm
This looks the perfect race here for the super talented Starliner.¬†He’s drawn box 2 and the $4830 first prize has his name on it.¬†With limited early speed in the race, and boxed between slow beginners, he should bounce out and end up very close to the lead.¬†Once he finds the front and the rail he should carve out some very quick sectionals and break the field right up.¬†He’s run a flying 35.00 dead here and the way this race will pan out, it should allow him to better that time if he’s 100%.¬†The only danger to him is Cakes and Pies, who has been racing in fine form, stopping the clock twice recently in 35.00 dead.¬†She’ll look to bounce out her and cut across the field early, and she should get up on the outside of Starliner.¬†These two dogs will then fight the finish out, with my pick Starliner having the advantage of finding the rail first.¬†will be available and I suggest jumping on early and taking the overs that should be on offer for Starliner.¬†2 dog race and he’s the one.
Angle Park Greyhounds¬†Race 1 Box 1 Dyna Drago,¬†6.12pm
I’ll be very happy to be putting the hard earned here on former Victorian Dyna Drago.¬†A bright future looks on the cards here for this fellow here in S.A.¬†He’s been super since coming across from Victoria, with 3 seconds in a row.¬†With the way the box draw has panned out, Dyna Drago looks set to camp right in behind them here and burst through at the crucial moment.¬†Box 2 runner Grannie O’Malley, should spear the lids and find the top early on in the race, but will struggle in the run to the line.¬†Former Queenslander Bogie Magic is another who will spear the lids, but he’ll look to cut down to the rail early, and he may get tangled up.¬†While all this is going on Dyna Drago will get a dream run in behind them, and should finish over the top here of these.¬†Don’t go jumping on board though, you must get overs and $4.00 plus is about the right price.¬†Fixed price will be on offer and I suggest jumping in early here and taking it.¬†Well boxed, strong and knocking on the door.¬†Great chance.
Dapto Greyhounds Race 2¬†Box 3 Lika Boss,¬†7.52pm
Lika Boss is a big chance here in this and should give backers a great sight.¬†He loves it here at Dapto and generally goes very well.¬†He has struggled a little since coming back from a stint in Victoria, but he’s been back home for over a month now and any ill effects from the Vic campaign should be gone.¬†Box 3 is no worries, and he should bounce out here and find the top.¬†If he can and does find the top, he’ll go very close to winning this.¬†He’s run a fast 34.69 here and he should stop the clock around that here tonight if he lands straight on the bunny.¬†Rock Pepper is the likely favourite and she’s racing extremely well at present.¬†She steps up here for the first time over the longer trip and does look suited by it.¬†But, she’ll be unders, and Lika Boss can get the better of her at far better odds if he finds the top.¬†Lika Boss Big Chance.
Hobart Greyhounds Race 2¬†Box 7 Cosmic Fire¬†7.58pm
Massive run here last week from this dog, after being beat by his littermate.¬†It’s clearly evident ¬†he’s much faster then his litter brother Mental as Ben but the box was the telling factor in his defeat here last week.¬†This is a much easier assignment, but I have no doubt this fellow will beat these here in this.¬†He’s quite a good pup and I have no doubt he’d beat a far better field of runners if need be.¬†Box 7 isn’t ideal, but he has panels on this field and will win.¬†If he comes out and finds clear room, expect the son of Cosmic Rumble to get down to the flying 26.00 flat mark.¬†He’ll start short but he’s unbeatable.¬†It’s just unfortunate he takes on such a ordinary line up, otherwise he may have started at good odds.¬†Big future ahead for this dog, and keep following him, he’s got plenty of talent.¬†Won’t be beat here tonight.
Sandown Greyhounds Race 10¬†Box 8 Xenos Bale¬†10.13pm
Xenos Bale bounced back to form here last start when he finished second.¬†He’s got plenty of talent and can run time when on song.¬†He was very promising as a young dog, but has gone right of the boil of late.¬†However, after his last start effort, I get the feeling he’s on the way the back.¬†Box 8 will suit and and he can show early toe, enough to cross from out here. That’s the key here, crossing down from out wide.¬†He’s up against it though and there is better chances ¬†boxed better than him.¬†But he’s a rough chance and rough odds must be achieved.¬†Odds of $12+ are about the right price, and I’d be backing him each way.¬†Great chance at odds.
Best Of Luck
$$ Another Day Another Dollar $$
Continuing our series on suggested changes to racing rules, here are a few more to go with those we wrote about on October 3rd (Items 1, 2 and 3). These are partly rules as such and partly recommended practices. Indeed, the latter group could well be built up by Greyhounds Australasia as a permanent guide to authorities and clubs around the nation.
There are many subjects where research and intelligence could be gathered professionally and then released for the benefit of all (as with drug treatments). For example, one we have mentioned previously is the use of the finish-on lure. Far too much of that discussion has been emotional rather than analytical and so the industry has gained little from it.
(4) Beauty in the Eye of the Beholder
One of the most important reviews we need is of rug colours. Too often they are hard to distinguish, one from the other. They are fine if the dogs are right in front of you, or the rugs are laid out on the boardroom table, but not when you are in the crowd on a wet and windy night and it‚Äôs hard to see what is happening over in the back straight.
Viewing on SKY is no better, and is sometimes worse due to long distances, starts in the back straight, poor camera quality, awkward camera angles or poor lighting.
Here are the clashes.
- (a) Red (1) and Pink (8) are OK when the two dogs are together, but not when they are apart. It‚Äôs worse when the rugs are getting old (much like the eyes of many viewers). Even synthetic fabric wears out.
- (b) Checks (2), White (3) and Green and White stripes (9) are not easy to sort out at a distance, especially when the dogs using them are white, black and white, or black.
- (c) Blue (4) and Green (6) have the same problem as 1 and 8. Sitting together they are fine but in poor light you are never sure. Lighting can play tricks, too.
Bear in mind that 99% of people watching a race are not there in the flesh but looking at a SKY picture, often at night in varying types of artificial light, when impressions can be quite different (I well remember the old Penrith track where they once used blue coloured globes which made a complete mess of the colours).
I hesitate to offer alternatives here because that is a job that should be entrusted to a qualified colour consultant. However, it‚Äôs worth noting that Dayglo colours, although probably more expensive, can be dramatically effective. I saw an example once in a whippet race and the result was brilliant (it happened to be for the Yellow). In today‚Äôs mix, Dayglo Green and Pink would also be a big help. If it‚Äôs good enough for road workers and lollipop ladies, it‚Äôs good enough for greyhounds.
GAL has already swapped the dirty Brown for a more satisfactory Green but it needs to go much further.
In passing, note thathas a potentially big advantage over the other two racing codes where only a few regulars can easily identify jockey or driver colours. We should press home that advantage.
Note: America has neither Black and White Checks or Pink rugs and the 8 dog uses Green and White stripes. Europe has no Pink but does have Orange.
(5) No Rule but one Needed
Regularly we are seeing dogs backup quickly ‚Äď many only two or three days after their previous race. Rarely does this policy show dividends, which is not surprising considering standard veterinary advice about recovery times for the average dog.
But dumping these conundrums on unsuspecting punters is not a good policy. How will they ever know if the dog is up to such a task? You can‚Äôt tell just by looking.
Imposing limits of at least 5 days between runs for sprinters and 7 days for stayers is a must. The dogs will probably thank you for it as well.
(6) Try First, then Buy
In one of its few progressive changes, GRNSW introduced a requirement for budding maidens to first complete an official trial before entering a real race. This was an excellent move because it gives punters a rough idea of how the dog might perform. Unfortunately, the practice has not been copied elsewhere.
In some cases, a specific event may require pre-qualification but it is not routine across the country. It should be.
Probably the most worrying are the premium Victorian age events ‚Äď the Laurels and the Sapphire ‚Äď where both unraced dogs and maidens are allowed into the heats. How can you tell if the dog is any good or not? Will it figure in the finish, run nowhere or just mess up the other runners? There is no way of telling.
A blanket ban across the country will fix the problem
Otherwise ‚Äď The Staying Caper
GRV news has highlighted comments from breeder Geoff Collins about the rising prominence of American blood amongst our stayers. Fair enough, too. However, let‚Äôs go not overboard about the performances of the current lot of top distance dogs, including the examples quoted of Lucy Wires and Destini Warrior. (That also goes for Proven Impala, which does not quite seem to be at its best over the longer trip, notwithstanding its one brilliant 42.01 run at Wentworth Park, or for Irma Bale, which runs out of puff at around 650m).
For a start, they lack sufficient consistency to be in the top ranks. Nor have any of them run great times in recent months. Typically, the better races are won in times eight to ten lengths outside the track record. Good on any of them that might win Group races but you also have to consider what they beat ‚Äď ie generally fair to average dogs which tend to plod rather than stay, or spear out, lead, then fade. It‚Äôs a far cry from there to the quality of today‚Äôs sprinters.
In any event, in class terms, Smart Valentino would be well ahead of the Victorian group although it, too, has to get away in the first half of the field to really sparkle. But it is a genuine stayer.
Simultaneously, GRV is pushing its program to encourage more stayers by offering bonus prize money at provincial tracks for everything from 570m to 680m. This is puzzling on two grounds.
First, they are flat out getting full fields for these races. Five, six and seven runners are more typical, suggesting that few trainers believe they have dogs capable of even middle distance trips.
Second, the dogs they do get are nothing to shout about. Many are there only because they can‚Äôt compete well over shorter trips. Results are often erratic. Flow-on to success over city 700s is rare. And, once again, performances are erratic if they do get there.
NSW has similar programs and results are much the same as in Victoria.
Which brings me back to a point that needs more emphasis. Throwing cash on the table is not much use unless you have the cards to back it up. Much better to go down the Geoff Collins road and seek out means of improving the breed. Funds would be better allocated to carefully selected sires or strains (whatever they might be) which have more chance of throwing up dogs that can get the longer trip. That would not happen overnight but it would offer much better odds of success in the long term.